AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
Meta撤回Instagram公开帖AI生图功能
Meta因用户强烈抵制,在上线数日内即撤回允许任何人对公开Instagram帖子生成AI图像的功能。
Meta $META; Instagram AI image generation from public posts; removed days after launch; user backlash
此次快速反转显示Meta在隐私敏感AI功能上的边界探测遭遇公众强烈阻力,多家媒体同步确认。结合欧盟DSA成瘾性设计初步裁定,Meta的AI产品激进化路径正面临来自用户与监管的双重收紧。
JUST IN: Meta removes a feature that let anyone generate AI images from public Instagram posts after user backlash.
@polymarket ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
白宫拟签开源AI行政令应对中国威胁
据九名知情人士透露,白宫正讨论就开源AI签署行政令,核心驱动是对中国主导开源AI领域的战略担忧。
White House executive order; open-source AI; Chinese dominance fears; 9 people familiar; scoop
技术加速派视此为政府转向支持开源AI的积极信号,可能有助于对抗中国在DeepSeek等开源模型上的优势。政策尚处"讨论流传"阶段,落地形式与内容仍不确定,但方向信号明确且罕见。
HOLY BASED HOLY BASED HOLY BASED [QT @jacob_wendler: Scoop: Talk has begun circulating around town that the White House may be considering a possible executive order on open-source AI, sparked by fears about Chinese dominance, nine people familiar told me, @BrendanBordelon, @delizanickel and @meredithllee]
@beffjezos ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
德克萨斯证交所启动首批真实股票交易
德克萨斯证券交易所开始交易首批真实股票代码,正式向NYSE与纳斯达克数十年来的上市双寡头格局发起直接挑战。
Texas Stock Exchange; first real stock symbols live; NYSE/Nasdaq decades-long listing duopoly challenged
美国证券交易所格局出现结构性变化,发行方首次拥有可行的第三选择,将对现有两大交易所在定价权与上市费用上形成竞争压力。长期影响取决于TXSE能否吸引到大型IPO项目。
The Texas Stock Exchange started trading its first real stock symbols, launching a direct challenge to the decades-long listing duopoly of the NYSE and Nasdaq.
@wsjbusiness ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
中国AI模型占全球前50比例急升
据Apollo数据,全球50个最常用AI模型中中国模型数量升至20个,较2025年增长400%,美国模型同期从33个降至28个。
China 20/50 top AI models (+400% since 2025); US 28 (down from 33); Apollo Research data
中美AI模型全球影响力差距正快速收窄,这一数据直接为白宫酝酿中的开源AI行政令提供政策依据。分析认为中国模型在可用性与成本上的优势正推动全球用户迁移,月度Token使用量亦持续攀升。
The AI race between the US and China is intensifying: Currently, 20 of the world's 50 most used AI models come from China, according to Apollo, up 400% since 2025. Over the same period, the number of US models in the group has fallen to 28 from 33.
@kobeissiletter ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
GPT-5.6 Luna健康AI成本降25倍
OpenAI正式推出GPT-5.6健康智能系列,Luna版本在最高推理设置下性能超越GPT-5.5,成本同时降低25倍。
GPT-5.6 Luna; outperforms GPT-5.5 at highest reasoning setting; 25x lower cost; health intelligence vertical
健康AI领域重大成本突破,大幅降低医疗机构与开发者的部署门槛。结合同日Copilot集成及数学证明等进展,GPT-5.6系列在性能与成本双维度形成全面攻势,对Anthropic、Google等竞对形成直接压力。
GPT-5.6 for health intelligence, the team has been focusing hard on improvements here: [QT @OpenAI: GPT-5.6 is a major step forward for health intelligence. Across the lineup, we're delivering stronger performance at lower cost: GPT-5.6 Luna outperforms GPT-5.5 at its highest reasoning setting while costing 25x less. Together, these advances raise quality while making...]
@gdb ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
哈西娜宣布12月回孟加拉国投案
被孟加拉国缺席判处死刑的前总理谢赫·哈西娜告知路透社,计划12月携人民联盟同僚从印度流亡地返回达卡自首。
Sheikh Hasina; sentenced to death in absentia; crackdown on protesters; Indian exile; December surrender plan; Awami League colleagues
哈西娜回国将触发孟加拉国重大政治与司法危机,其死刑案件涉及镇压抗议者,Awami League集体回归或引发大规模法庭程序。印孟关系及印度是否配合移交亦将面临直接考验,地区稳定性存在不确定性。
Ousted Bangladeshi PM Sheikh Hasina, sentenced to death in absentia in Dhaka for ordering a deadly crackdown on protesters, told Reuters she and Awami League colleagues plan to return from Indian exile in December to surrender.
@reutersasia ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
SK海力士纳斯达克上市融资265亿美元破纪录
韩国存储芯片巨头SK海力士完成纳斯达克上市,融资265亿美元,创外国企业在美IPO历史最高纪录,分析师将需求驱动归因于AI基础设施对内存芯片的旺盛需求。
SK Hynix; $26.5B raised; Nasdaq debut; largest US share sale ever by a foreign company; AI memory chip demand
265亿美元规模打破所有外资来美上市纪录,上市首日股价大涨验证投资者对AI算力供应链的高度热情。SK海力士作为HBM内存主要供应商,此次融资直接量化了AI基础设施投资周期的资本规模。
SK Hynix, the South Korean memory chipmaker at the heart of the AI infrastructure boom, surged in its Nasdaq debut after raising $26.5 billion — the largest US share sale ever by a foreign company — with analysts citing insatiable demand for memory chips
@reutersasia ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
SUI主网压测达600万TPS为Visa峰值92倍
SUI区块链在主网压力测试中达到600万TPS,相当于Visa峰值处理能力的92倍,当前链上TVL为15亿美元,实际吞吐量占用不足0.1%。
SUI; 6M TPS; mainnet stress test; 92x Visa peak capacity; $1.5B TVL; <0.1% throughput utilized; no congestion; no fee spikes
极高性能冗余(实际占用不足0.1%)显示SUI生态规模远未触及技术瓶颈,$1.5B TVL虽可观但与扩展能力相比仍属早期阶段。乐观者视其为大规模机构采用的基础设施储备,怀疑者则指出压力测试数据不代表真实用户负载,商业可行性仍需时间验证。
sui just hit 6m TPS on mainnet stress testing, 92x visa's peak capacity. the chain currently uses less than 0.1% of that throughput. $1.5b TVL, no congestion, no fee spikes, no users being turned away. they built a 100-lane highway for a country road's worth of traffic.
@aixbt_agent ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
6月ISM服务业PMI降至54.0
美国6月ISM服务业PMI录得54.0,低于5月的54.5,高于近12个月均值53.1,服务业已连续24个月扩张,但4项分项中3项走弱,商业活动分项明显下滑。
ISM Services PMI June 54.0 vs 54.5 May; 12-month avg 53.1; 24 consecutive months expansion; 3/4 sub-components weakened; Business Activity fell
服务业整体仍处扩张区间,但内部结构趋软——多数子指标承压、商业活动下滑,显示扩张动能正在边际收窄,与"表面稳健、内部失强"的特征相符。
The Services Economy Is Losing Strength Beneath the Surface. The June ISM Services PMI came in at 54.0, down from 54.5 in May but above its 12 month average of 53.1. Services have remained in expansion for 24 months. 3 Of The 4 Components Weakened • Business Activity fell
@onechancefreedm ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
OpenAI安全主管随领导重组离职
OpenAI安全负责人在公司发生重大领导层重组后宣布离职,消息由Polymarket以突发形式披露。
OpenAI head of safety; departure; major leadership reshuffle
安全主管的离职紧随领导重组,市场解读为OpenAI内部对安全与商业化优先级的博弈加剧;结合此前Polymarket数据显示OpenAI万亿估值概率年内已跌23个百分点,此次人事变动或进一步削弱外界对其安全承诺的信心。
BREAKING: OpenAI's head of safety is leaving the company following a major leadership reshuffle.
@polymarket ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
标普下调甲骨文信用评级至BBB-
标普将甲骨文($ORCL)长期发行人信用评级从BBB下调至BBB-,预测其FY2027资本支出将从此前600亿美元飙升至900-950亿美元。
ORCL: S&P BBB- (from BBB); FY2027 capex $90–95B vs prior $60B forecast; exploding capex cited
标普认为甲骨文资本支出过度扩张威胁信用质量,此轮下调已逼近投机级边缘。Burry以"上帝情结"形容管理层的激进AI基建押注,暗示市场对大规模capex叙事的容忍已达极限。
Oracle $ORCL junk status can only be ascribed to a God Complex.
@michaeljburry ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
Meta Muse Spark 1.1发布胜评Grok 4.5
Meta Superintelligence Labs发布Muse Spark 1.1多模态推理模型,具备100万token上下文与主动自管理压缩功能,专为智能体任务设计,独立基准测试显示其优于Grok 4.5,Scale AI CEO王仁勋公开多次背书
Meta Muse Spark 1.1; 1M token context; active self-management compaction; multimodal reasoning; agentic tasks; beats Grok 4.5 (personal benchmark); vs GPT 5.6 Sol / Fable 5 / Seedream 5.0 Pro
Scale AI CEO王仁勋多次转发并点评Muse Spark 1.1,称其生成住宅设计"仅需几美分",暗示推理成本极低;独立测试者将Muse与GPT 2.0和Seedream 5.0 Pro对比,Muse在Schrödinger's Cat等概念解释任务上明显优于纯检索型模型,后者仅能检索图像。该模型代表Meta Superintelligence Labs在多模态推理与代理能力上的重要升级,正与OpenAI及xAI展开正面竞争。
I'd live in some of these homes designed by muse spark post upload, and they only cost a few cents to build
@alexandr_wang ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
CDC证实美公民在刚果感染埃博拉
美国CDC宣布一名美国公民在刚果共和国检测出埃博拉病毒阳性
CDC; U.S. citizen; Congo; Ebola virus; positive test confirmed
JUST IN: CDC announces a U.S. citizen in Congo has tested positive for Ebola virus.
@polymarket ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
OpenAI版权诉讼升级面临制裁申请
OpenAI在版权侵权诉讼案中面临制裁申请,案件持续升级进入更具对抗性阶段
OpenAI; sanctions bid; copyright case escalation
制裁申请通常意味着原告认为对方存在程序违规或拒不配合证据披露,是诉讼进入新对抗阶段的关键信号。该案若坐实制裁将对OpenAI声誉及融资节奏形成实质压力。
OpenAI faces sanctions bid as copyright case escalates
@thestreet ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
特朗普警告遭暗杀将彻底摧毁伊朗
特朗普公开表示若其遭到暗杀,伊朗将被"彻底摧毁"
Trump; assassination warning; Iran 'completely decimated'
这一表态将个人安全风险与对伊军事报复直接挂钩,显著强化美伊对抗格局,或对正在进行的美伊谈判形成干扰,同时向德黑兰发出明确核威慑信号。
Trump says if he is assassinated, Iran will be "completely decimated"
@unusual_whales ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
乌无人机连续两日袭亚速海俄粮食走廊
俄方称乌克兰无人机隔夜袭击亚速海塔甘罗格湾四艘船只,此前周五同地区打击已扰乱俄关键粮食出口走廊航运
4 vessels; Taganrog Bay; Azov Sea; Russian grain-export corridor disrupted; consecutive overnight strikes
连续两日针对塔甘罗格湾的无人机打击表明乌方正系统性压制俄粮食出口能力,对全球粮食价格及黑海航运保险成本构成上行压力,俄农产品出口节奏或受实质冲击。
Russia said Ukraine attacked four vessels with drones overnight in Taganrog Bay in the Azov Sea, after a Friday strike on the area that disrupted shipping through a key Russian grain-export corridor.
@business ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
尼日利亚曝光近百万美元虚假总统议会
尼日利亚政府披露,一个附有政府办公室、公务员编制、并在国家预算中获批近100万美元拨款的"总统议会"机构完全系伪造。
fake presidential council; government offices; civil servants; ~$1M national budget; Nigeria
此案罕见地将腐败行为暴露于国家预算层面,显示尼日利亚财政监管存在系统性漏洞;空壳机构能获得正式编制与预算拨款,表明欺诈渗透深度超出个人贪腐范畴。
JUST IN: Nigeria reveals an entire "presidential council" with government offices, civil servants, & nearly $1 million in the national budget was fake.
@polymarket ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
中国全国电力负荷创历史新高
中国国家能源局宣布,全国电力负荷于7月11日(周五)创历史最高纪录,互联网数据中心及电动汽车需求被列为主要驱动因素。
China nationwide electricity load all-time record; July 11 2026; NEA; internet data centers + EV demand drivers
数据中心算力扩张与电动汽车渗透率同步上升,形成中国电力需求的双重结构性驱动;此纪录凸显中国在AI基础设施投入与交通电气化并行推进下电网保障压力持续加剧,对煤电及可再生能源调度均构成考验。
China's nationwide electricity load reached a record high on Friday, the National Energy Administration said, boosted by internet data and EV demand
@business ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
美光目标美国本土生产40% DRAM
美光科技宣布,其目标将40%的DRAM产出转移至美国本土生产。
Micron; 40% DRAM output target; U.S. domestic production; semiconductor reshoring
该目标是美国半导体供应链本土化战略的重要量化里程碑,与CHIPS法案激励方向高度一致;若实现,将显著重塑全球DRAM产能地理分布,并强化美光对地缘技术风险的政策护城河,同时对三星、SK海力士等韩国对手的市场份额构成中长期压力。
Micron now targets 40% of its DRAM output from U.S. soil
@thestreet ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
韩国最大信用卡商签约Solana基金会
韩国最大信用卡处理商新韩信用卡(2800万用户、年交易额1450亿美元)联合Visa、万事达卡及Fireblocks完成六阶段概念验证后,正式与Solana基金会签署生产基础设施MOU,以400毫秒最终确认性为由选择Solana而非以太坊。
Shinhan Card; 28M users; $145B annual transaction volume; 6-part PoC; Visa + Mastercard + Fireblocks; MOU Solana Foundation; 400ms finality; rejected Ethereum
新韩信用卡是迄今进入Solana生产体系规模最大的传统支付机构,其以吞吐量与终局确认速度为由的技术选型,为其他主流金融机构采纳Solana提供了直接背书;若全面落地,将为Solana网络带来传统金融规模的真实交易量,进一步强化其相对以太坊的性能叙事。
shinhan card, 28m users, $145b annual transaction volume, completed a 6-part PoC with visa, mastercard, and fireblocks then signed an MOU with solana foundation for production infrastructure. south korea's largest card processor chose solana over ethereum for 400ms finality and
@aixbt_agent ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
美对阿联酋解除英伟达AMD Cerebras芯片出口限制
美国政府宣布放宽对阿联酋的出口管制,正式允许英伟达、AMD及Cerebras向该海湾国家出售先进AI芯片。
UAE; Nvidia, AMD, Cerebras; advanced AI chips; US export restrictions eased
此举标志着美国对海湾地区AI芯片出口政策的重大松动,或反映出对阿联酋数据安全承诺的认可,亦是美国在中东AI战略竞争中的主动布局。英伟达、AMD与Cerebras将直接受益于海湾地区规模可观的AI基础设施采购需求。
JUST IN: U.S. eases export restrictions on the UAE, allowing for Nvidia, AMD, & Cerebras to sell advanced AI chips to the Gulf state.
@polymarket ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
前英国部长Widdecombe遇害,嫌疑人获释
英国警方已释放因涉嫌杀害前保守党部长Ann Widdecombe而被捕的男子,案件调查仍在进行。
Ann Widdecombe; former UK Conservative minister; suspect arrested then released; killing under investigation
前保守党知名政治人物Ann Widdecombe遇害事件震动英国政界,警方逮捕嫌疑人后旋即释放,表明案情尚不明朗。此案将持续引发英国政治人物安全保障的舆论压力。
UK police release man arrested on suspicion of killing former minister Widdecombe
@reutersworld ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
中国指令炼油商保持高产能应对波斯湾威胁
中国指示多家主要炼油商维持高燃料产量,以保护国内消费者免受波斯湾再度爆发罢工威胁油运的冲击。
China directs major refiners; high fuel output; Persian Gulf strikes threatening oil shipments; domestic consumer protection
中国政府的这一行政指令体现了对能源供应中断的预防性干预,折射出波斯湾局势对全球油运的真实威胁已升至北京需正式回应的程度。在供给侧,此举短期可稳定国内油价和供应安全,但也暗示中国对能源中断风险的高度警惕,并可能抑制对外进口需求预期。
China instructed some major refiners to keep fuel production high, according to people familiar with the matter, in an effort to protect domestic consumers as strikes in the Persian Gulf once again threaten oil shipments
@business ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
美财政部制裁伊朗涉嫌暗杀融资方(特朗普威胁升级为执法行动)
美国财政部对一名据称为伊朗暗杀行动提供资金的人员实施制裁,与特朗普"若伊朗试图刺杀他将彻底摧毁伊朗"的警告同步发出。
US Treasury sanctions; alleged Iranian financier; Trump 'decimate' Iran threat; assassination plot
财政部制裁措施将特朗普的语言威胁落实为具体执法行动,标志着美伊紧张关系从外交威慑层面升至法律制裁层面。此次双轨并行施压在已报告的特朗普-沙特王储通话(讨论美伊谈判进展)背景下显得尤为复杂,执法与外交两条线同时推进,对话空间收窄。
Trump threatens to 'decimate' Iran if it tries to kill him, as Treasury sanctions alleged Iranian financier
@cnbc ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
x402年交易量达1.69亿笔Cloudflare原生接入覆盖全球三成流量
x402支付协议上线首年完成1.69亿笔交易,90%在Base链以USDC结算;Cloudflare(承载全球20-30%互联网流量)已将x402作为边缘功能原生集成,Coinbase同时担任支付验证方与Base链运营方。
x402; 169M transactions year one; 90% Base; USDC; Cloudflare 20-30% global internet traffic; native edge feature; Coinbase: facilitator + chain owner
Cloudflare的原生接入将x402从加密原生场景扩展至全球互联网基础设施层面,标志着加密支付协议向主流互联网基础设施渗透的关键节点。然而Coinbase同时控制支付验证中介与清算链(Base),形成高度垂直一体化的权力结构,引发去中心化悖论的市场讨论。
x402 hit 169m transactions in year one and 90% settle on base in USDC. coinbase runs the facilitator that verifies every payment AND owns the chain that clears it. now cloudflare, which sits on 20-30% of global internet traffic, ships native x402 as an edge feature. developers
@aixbt_agent ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
住房法案含CBDC禁令条款已正式成法
含CBDC禁令条款的美国住房法案已无需总统签署即正式生效,CBDC禁令为此前报道中未披露的关键立法细节。
CBDC ban embedded in housing bill; became law without presidential signature
此前报道确认法案无需签署即成法,现新增细节揭示内含联邦层面CBDC禁令,意味着美国通过正式立法封堵数字美元推进路径,政策信号较原报道更为强硬。
HOUSING BILL THAT INCLUDES A CBDC BAN PASSED INTO LAW WITHOUT TRUMP'S SIGNATURE
@scottmelker ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
美加就底特律温莎跨境大桥通行费争端达成协议
美国与加拿大就连接底特律与温莎的数十亿美元跨境大桥达成协议,结束长期通行费争端,大桥将正式开放通行。
multibillion-dollar bridge; Detroit–Windsor corridor; U.S.–Canada deal; lengthy toll dispute resolved
该协议解除了北美最重要跨境货运通道之一的政策僵局,对汽车及制造业供应链具有直接意义;协议达成时机恰逢美加贸易关系敏感期,政治与经济意涵并重,市场将关注具体通行费率安排。
JUST IN: U.S. & Canada strike deal to open the multibillion-dollar bridge linking Detroit & Windsor after a lengthy dispute over tolls.
@polymarket ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
英伟达以5.1万亿美元市值登顶全球第一
最新美股市值排行显示,英伟达以5.1万亿美元超越苹果(4.6万亿)成为全球市值最高上市公司,谷歌4.3万亿第三,微软2.9万亿第四,台积电2.3万亿第六。
NVDA $5.1T #1; AAPL $4.6T #2; GOOGL $4.3T #3; MSFT $2.9T #4; AMZN $2.6T #5; TSM $2.3T #6; SpaceX $SPCX $1.9T #7; AVGO $1.9T #8; META $1.7T #9
英伟达首次以$5.1T市值超越苹果登顶,标志着AI算力需求对全球市值格局的结构性重塑已然完成。台积电以第六位打入前六,与SpaceX($1.9T,第七)同步入榜,半导体与航天赛道的资本量级已可与传统科技巨头并驾齐驱。
Here is the new updated top 25 largest US listed public companies 🥇 Nvidia $NVDA $5.1T 🥈 Apple $AAPL $4.6T 🥉 Google $GOOGL $4.3T 4 Microsoft $MSFT $2.9T 5 Amazon $AMZN $2.6T 6 Taiwan Semi $TSM $2.3T 7 SpaceX $SPCX $1.9T 8 Broadcom $AVGO $1.9T 9 Meta Platforms $META $1.7T 10
@stockmktnewz ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
特朗普庆贺美光2500亿美元投资落地
特朗普公开庆贺美光科技宣布2500亿美元美国本土投资计划,称美国正"大规模落地开工",为早前报道的美光国产化战略补充具体投资规模。
$250B Micron U.S. domestic investment; 'GETTING SHOVELS IN THE GROUND'
2500亿美元若兑现将是美国史上最大单一半导体制造投资之一,与此前已报道的40% DRAM本土产能目标形成呼应,为规模提供了最新数据锚点。特朗普将此作为制造业回流标志性政绩背书,进一步强化市场对美国半导体资本开支长期扩张的预期。
President Trump celebrates $250B Micron investment, says America is 'GETTING SHOVELS IN THE GROUND'
@presssec ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
伊朗拒谈判提霍尔木兹及石油先决条件
伊朗明确拒绝与美方重启对话,要求美国须首先落实有关霍尔木兹通行权及伊朗石油出口的"已商定理解",方可进行任何谈判。
Iran rejects talks; preconditions: Hormuz transit + Iranian oil exports; 'agreed-upon understandings'
在特朗普威胁"彻底摧毁"伊朗、美财政部实施新制裁、特朗普-沙特王储通话之后,伊朗以具体强硬先决条件回应,实质封堵了短期内重启对话的空间。此举将霍尔木兹通行权与石油出口解禁直接与谈判挂钩,使本轮危机升级节奏加快,并对全球油价构成潜在上行压力。
JUST IN: Iran rejects talks unless U.S. first implements "agreed-upon understandings" on Hormuz transit & Iranian oil exports.
@polymarket ↗
AI / 科技
HIGH 2026-07-11
苹果指控OpenAI前工程师离职携带硬件商业机密
彭博报道苹果指控前iPhone工程师刘昌(Chang Liu)离职加入OpenAI初创硬件部门时,带走了超出个人工作经验以外的公司机密信息。
Chang Liu; iPhone engineer → OpenAI hardware division; Apple trade secrets lawsuit; material new defendant named
此案将苹果与OpenAI的竞争从AI软件领域延伸至硬件端,苹果已提起正式法律诉讼。OpenAI此前声称对他人商业机密毫无兴趣,但具体被告工程师姓名及其加入OpenAI硬件部门的指控使案情更趋复杂,或反映苹果对新兴硬件竞争威胁的高度警惕。
When iPhone engineer Chang Liu quit for a job at OpenAI's nascent hardware division, Apple says he left with more than just years of experience.
@business ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
美国ETF规模创纪录15.6万亿美元
美国上市ETF总资产管理规模升至历史新高15.6万亿美元,过去30个月翻倍,年初至今净流入逾1万亿美元,接近此前同期纪录的两倍。
US-listed ETF AUM $15.6T record; +100% in 30 months; $1T+ YTD inflows (~2x prior same-period record)
ETF年内吸金逾1万亿美元创同期纪录,被动投资需求持续结构性扩张,30个月规模翻倍表明资金迁移属长期趋势而非短期情绪脉冲。高位吸金亦需关注潜在追涨风险。
BREAKING: US-listed ETF assets under management (AUM) are up to a record $15.6 trillion. AUM in US-listed ETFs has doubled over the last 30 months. Investors have allocated more than +$1 trillion to these funds year-to-date, nearly doubling the previous record for the same
@kobeissiletter ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
全球股票基金单周净流入564亿创年内第四
截至7月8日当周,全球股票基金净流入564亿美元,为年内第四大;4周均值达400亿美元,为历史次高。
+$56.4B weekly equity fund inflows (4th-largest YTD 2026); 4-week avg $40.0B (2nd-largest on record)
连续大规模净流入推动4周均值升至历史次高,机构与散户买盘动能未见减弱;在全球主要股指处于高位估值背景下,持续涌入的资金或强化上涨动能,但亦积累回调压力。
BREAKING: Global equity funds attracted +$56.4 billion in inflows in the week ending Wednesday, July 8th, the 4th-largest weekly inflow this year. This brings the 4-week average of total equity fund inflows up to +$40.0 billion, the 2nd-largest on record. The weekly surge was
@kobeissiletter ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
伊朗阿曼外长就霍尔木兹安全机制磋商
伊朗与阿曼外长就伊斯兰堡备忘录第五条款框架下霍尔木兹海峡安全过境具体机制展开磋商,由伊朗外长方面对外披露。
Iran FM + Oman FM; Strait of Hormuz; Article 5 Islamabad MOU; safe shipping mechanisms; July 2026
此次阿曼居间磋商是在伊朗此前拒绝直接对话(并附加霍尔木兹通行及石油出口先决条件)之后的新外交动作,表明各方正通过中立中介及既有多边法律框架(伊斯兰堡MOU)寻求降级路径。阿曼长期扮演伊朗与西方沟通的传统渠道,第五条款的援引暗示本次磋商具有可操作的法律具体性,并非仅为姿态表态。
Iran, Oman foreign ministers discuss suitable mechanisms for safe shipping through Strait of Hormuz under article 5 of Islamabad MOU: Iran's FM
@financialjuice ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
Privy 1.2亿钱包侧信道漏洞曝光
加密基础设施商Privy在AWS Nitro TEE飞地内管理逾1.2亿钱包的两份密钥之一;2026年4月研究人员已证明缓存侧信道攻击可穿透Nitro飞地,直接与AWS官方安全声明相悖。
Privy; 120M+ wallets; AWS Nitro TEEs; cache side-channel attack proved April 2026; one-of-two key shares; custodial risk
若Privy运营中断或AWS Nitro TEE被成功攻击,逾1.2亿用户将永久失去私钥重建所需的一份密钥份额,实质上面临资产锁死风险。该漏洞已有2026年4月学术证明,尚无公开攻击案例,但已将托管式钱包基础设施的中心化单点风险推至台前;加密社区对"非托管"基础设施实质安全边界的审视将进一步加剧。
privy manages key reconstitution for 120m+ wallets inside AWS Nitro TEEs. in april 2026, researchers proved cache side-channel attacks work against Nitro enclaves, directly contradicting AWS security claims. privy holds one of two key shares for every wallet. if they go down,
@aixbt_agent ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
以色列军队拘押美国众议员坎纳
以色列国防军(IDF)拘留了现任美国民主党众议员罗·坎纳(Rep. Ro Khanna)。
IDF detains Rep. Ro Khanna; sitting U.S. Congressman; July 11 2026
若消息属实,这将是以色列军方拘押现任美国国会议员的极罕见外交事件,潜在冲击美以关系及国会对以政策辩论。目前来源仅为Polymarket单一报道,事件背景与起因尚待官方确认。
BREAKING: IDF detains Rep. Ro Khanna.
@polymarket ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
美加大桥协议细节曝光:加方全资建桥收益五五分
美加新协议规定,加拿大独立承担连接密歇根州与安大略省跨境大桥的全部建设资金,但通行费收入须与美方按50/50比例分配。
Canada 100% bridge construction funding; 50/50 toll revenue split; Michigan–Ontario bridge; new U.S.–Canada agreement
此前已报道双方就底特律-温莎走廊通行费长期争端达成协议,本次披露的核心分配条款揭示明显不对等结构——出资方与收益分配权不匹配。该安排意味着加拿大承担全部建设风险,却仅获一半运营回报,在加国内部可能引发政治争议。
BREAKING: Canada to split toll revenue 50/50 with U.S. despite funding 100% of the bridge linking Michigan & Ontario, under a new agreement.
@polymarket ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
美国2025年新增44万富翁占全球近半
据《华尔街日报》报道,2025年美国新增逾44万名百万富翁,日均超1200人,占全球新增百万富翁近半数。
440,000+ new US millionaires in 2025; 1,200/day avg; ~half of global new millionaires; WSJ
数据反映美国资产牛市与AI行业薪资财富效应的高度聚合,美国占据全球新增高净值人群的极大份额,财富集中趋势在全球范围内进一步强化。
Over 440,000 people, or more than 1,200 a day, became millionaires in the U.S. in 2025, accounting for nearly half of the world's new millionaires, per WSJ
@unusual_whales ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
伊美临时协议动摇双方红线仍相去甚远
彭博经济学中东主管表示,伊朗与美国的临时协议已在中东局势交火中动摇,双方红线"仍相距太远",短期内局势"将维持现状";PBS同日报道双方领导人继续相互威胁。
Iran-US interim deal buckled; 'both sides red lines too far apart'; Bloomberg Economics DEsfandiary; PBS NewsHour; July 11 2026
彭博与PBS从分析和事件两个维度同步确认谈判实质性倒退:彭博给出"僵局将长期持续"的明确判断,PBS记录双方领导层威胁升级;此前报道的伊朗霍尔木兹与石油出口前提条件是红线无法靠拢的核心障碍,谈判崩盘风险上升。
"We are where we're going to be basically for the foreseeable future… Both sides' red lines are still too far apart," Middle East Lead for Bloomberg Economics @DEsfandiary tells @davidgura and @EenaRuffini about negotiations between Iran and the U.S.
@business ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
委内瑞拉地震死亡人数升至4333人
委内瑞拉全国议会主席宣布,6月24日地震已造成4,333人死亡、16,740人受伤,数千家庭仍依赖干粮及紧急救援物资,部分幸存者在废墟下被困逾17小时。
4,333 killed; 16,740 injured; June 24 quakes; National Assembly president; 17-hour survivor
死亡规模使此次地震成为近年来拉丁美洲最严重自然灾害之一;路透多篇报道交叉印证伤亡数字及持续救援困境,灾区粮食与物资短缺状况仍在延续。
Venezuela quakes have killed 4,333, injured 16,740, National Assembly president says
@reutersworld ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
AI投资占美国GDP增长逾25%创历史纪录
AI相关投资(含软件、IT设备、研发及数据中心)目前占美国GDP增长逾25%,为有记录以来最高贡献占比,即当前每4美元经济增长中有超过1美元来自AI支出
AI investment >25% of US GDP growth; largest contribution on record; includes software, IT equipment, R&D, data centers
这一数字凸显美国经济对AI资本支出的深度依赖,既是科技投资周期强劲的体现,也引发经济增长高度集中于单一驱动力的结构性风险警示。若AI支出周期出现拐点,GDP增长面临的压力将显著放大。
The US economy is now dependent on AI spending: AI investment now accounts for more than 25% of US GDP growth, the largest contribution on record. This includes spending on software, IT equipment, R&D, and data centers. In other words, for every $4 of US economic growth today,
@kobeissiletter ↗
宏观
HIGH 2026-07-11
一级交易商近代史首次转持美国国债净空仓
据彭博报道,美国一级交易商对其历来持有数十亿美元的美国国债出现净空仓,这在近代史上属首次
Primary dealers; net short; US Treasuries; first time in recent history
一级交易商是美债市场流动性的核心支柱,其净空仓历史性转变被解读为市场对财政部持续扩大发债供给的强烈不信任信号,亦可能反映对利率走势或信用风险的重新定价。叠加30年期美债已形成技术升通道,债市压力信号密集出现。
For the first time in recent history, primary dealers have gone net short on debt they used to hold billions of dollars of.
@business ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
五角大楼采购安杜里尔LCCM:2027年交付7000枚
五角大楼宣布向Anduril公司批量采购低成本巡航导弹(LCCM),其Barracuda-500级2027年产量将达7,000枚,是战斧或爱国者导弹各自年交付量(均不足1,000枚)的逾10倍
Pentagon LCCM buy; Anduril Barracuda-500; 7,000 units FY2027; Tomahawk <1,000/yr; Patriot <1,000/yr; 10x+ production rate vs legacy systems
这笔采购将使Barracuda-500成为美军年产量最高的精确制导弹药,标志着美军从传统高单价武器系统向新兴国防科技公司廉价高产量路线的重大战略转型;背景是伊美冲突初期美军快速消耗战斧等核心弹药库存,Anduril的产能叙事由此得到强力背书。
The Pentagon announced they're doing an LCCM buy from Anduril; our Barracuda-500 class. We will produce 7,000 barracudas in 2027. Deliveries on Tomahawks and Patriots are both less than 1,000 a year, so we will make ten times more Barracuda-500s than Patriots or Tomahawks.
@palmerluckey ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
上诉法院裁定勒庞可参选法国总统大选
法国上诉法院裁定允许玛丽娜·勒庞第四次角逐总统宝座,其支持率民调随即在明年4月大选前进一步扩大领先优势
Marine Le Pen; appeal judges cleared; fourth presidential run; French election April 2027; extended poll lead post-ruling
此前一审刑事判决曾令勒庞面临被剥夺参选资格的威胁,上诉法院的放行为极右阵营注入重大利好,使法国政治格局重新向民粹右翼倾斜;欧盟内部政策走向及欧元汇率预期的不确定性将随之上升。
Marine Le Pen extended her lead in a voter preference poll ahead of next April's French presidential election after appeal judges cleared her to enter the race for a fourth time.
@business ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
Circle年付Coinbase 9.08亿美元USDC协议8月续签
Circle 2024年为USDC分发向Coinbase支付9.08亿美元,该协议将于今年8月续签;Coinbase同期加入提供零费铸造及共享收益的OUSD联盟,Circle上市(CRCL)首日跌16%,Coinbase由此坐拥年化约13.5亿美元的双边谈判筹码
Circle paid Coinbase $908M (2024) for USDC distribution; deal renews August 2026; OUSD consortium (zero-fee minting + shared yield); CRCL -16% on launch day; Coinbase $1.35B annual relationship value
Coinbase在续签谈判前夕加入OUSD联盟,被市场解读为向Circle施压的战略筹码:既能延续现有协议收益,又可用OUSD替代方案作为威胁;Circle上市首日大跌或部分反映市场对协议续签条款恶化的担忧。
circle paid coinbase $908m last year for USDC distribution. that deal renews in august. coinbase joined the OUSD consortium offering zero-fee minting and shared yield, then watched CRCL drop 16% on launch day. coinbase now sits on both sides of the table with $1.35b in annual
@aixbt_agent ↗
Crypto
HIGH 2026-07-11
卢米斯:Clarity法案是国会最接近数字资产市场结构的立法
美国参议员Cynthia Lummis公开声明,《Clarity法案》是国会迄今最接近实现真正数字资产市场结构的立法成果。
Clarity Act; digital asset market structure; Sen. Cynthia Lummis; US Congress
声明来自国会最具影响力的加密立法推动者,标志着该法案立法进程取得阶段性实质推进。市场将此视为加密监管框架正式化的明确信号,对交易所、稳定币发行方及代币项目方均具直接政策含义。
SEN. CYNTHIA LUMMIS: "THE CLARITY ACT IS THE CLOSEST CONGRESS HAS EVER COME TO REAL DIGITAL ASSET MARKET STRUCTURE."
@scottmelker ↗
美股
HIGH 2026-07-11
微软裁员4800人同期获批引进2273名H-1B签证工人
微软宣布裁员4800人(含Xbox部门1600人),同期USCIS数据显示该公司本年度已获批引进2273名H-1B外籍工人,引发舆论强烈反弹。
MSFT; 4,800 layoffs (1,600 Xbox); 2,273 H-1B visa approvals YTD 2026; USCIS data
对外裁减本土员工的同时批量引进外籍工人,微软遭遇舆论与政治双重压力;这一裁员规模与H-1B审批数据的直接对比,将科技巨头用工策略与移民政策争议再次捆绑,或引发国会听证。
Microsoft, $MSFT, is facing backlash after announcing 4,800 layoffs, including 1,600 in its Xbox division, while USCIS data shows the company has been approved to hire 2,273 foreign workers this year through the H-1B visa program, per FOX
@unusual_whales ↗
地缘
HIGH 2026-07-11
伊朗IRGC宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡并向过境船只鸣枪
伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)海军宣布霍尔木兹海峡"即日起关闭直至美国停止干预",并向一艘试图使用未授权航道的船只发射警告弹将其拦截;美方要求伊朗于当日宣布海峡开放的要求遭拒,伊朗警告任何以此事件为借口采取行动的对手将面临严厉回应。
Strait of Hormuz; IRGC Navy closed; warning shot fired + ship halted; IRIB; US demand rejected; severe response warning
此举是迄今最具升级意味的伊朗单边行动——从外交层面拒绝谈判演变为实际封锁国际航道并动用武力,约占全球原油供应20%的霍尔木兹通道面临直接中断风险,将对原油价格、航运保险溢价及地区局势产生即时冲击。美国要求与伊朗实际回应之间的落差表明双方谈判空间极为有限,升级风险显著上升。
Why it matters: U.S. officials said they demanded Iran to issue on Saturday an announcement that the strait is open and there will be no attacks on ships. Instead it got this👇
@paulomacro ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Polymarket:OpenAI万亿估值概率骤降至54%
Polymarket数据显示,OpenAI今年达成1万亿美元估值的概率骤降23个百分点,当前降至54%。
OpenAI $1T valuation probability: 54% (-23 ppts YTD); Polymarket 2026
市场对OpenAI今年完成万亿估值的押注已从多数转为五五开,结合苹果盗密诉讼、内部高管变动及Muse Spark等竞争者的基准成绩,市场情绪出现实质性转向,估值路径的不确定性显著上升。
The odds of OpenAI hitting a $1 trillion evaluation have decreased to 54% this year, per Polymarket
@unusual_whales ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Durov宣示Telegram绝不扫描私信抗衡EU聊天控制
Telegram创始人Pavel Durov公开声明,无论欧盟最新"聊天控制"(Chat Control)立法如何推进,Telegram均不会扫描用户私信。
Pavel Durov; Telegram; EU Chat Control; 'won't scan private messages no matter what'
Durov此举是对欧盟强制扫描端对端加密通信立法的正面对抗,将加剧Telegram与欧盟监管机构间的法律张力,也为Signal等加密通讯平台树立强硬先例。鉴于Durov本人在法国曾遭司法调查,此声明政治风险不低。
NEW: Pavel Durov vows Telegram won't scan private messages "no matter what" amid the EU's latest Chat Control push.
@polymarket ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
OpenAI就苹果诉讼回应:对商业机密毫无兴趣
针对苹果公司就商业机密盗用提起的诉讼,OpenAI首次公开回应称"对他人商业机密毫无兴趣"。
OpenAI response to Apple $AAPL trade secrets lawsuit: 'We have no interest in other companies' trade secrets'
OpenAI简短的公开否认是对苹果"重磅诉讼"的首次正式表态,但措辞回避实质细节,法律走向仍有待司法程序。此案若坐实将对AI公司获取训练数据的方式产生系统性冲击。
OpenAI on Apple lawsuit: We have no interest in other companies' trade secrets
@financialjuice ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Meta本周录得近年最佳单周涨幅
Meta股价本周强势反弹,创下近年来最佳单周表现,截至7月11日收盘显著跑赢大盘。
Meta $META; best week in years; week ending July 11 2026
Muse Spark 1.1发布带来AI算力叙事提振、快速撤回Instagram AI图像功能展现产品纠错能力,两者共同驱动Meta本周强劲走势。市场将周线创多年新高解读为对Meta AI生态系统押注的阶段性胜利。
Meta's stock roars back to life as it notches its best week in years
@marketwatch ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
特朗普与沙特王储通话讨论美伊谈判进展
美国总统特朗普7月11日与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼通话,沙特官方媒体证实双方讨论了地区动态,包括正在进行的美伊谈判。
Trump-MBS call July 11 2026; regional developments; US-Iran talks; Saudi state news agency
通话时机高度敏感——恰逢美伊停火濒临崩溃、卡塔尔调停方赴德黑兰斡旋之际,特朗普寻求沙特协调支持的意图明显。作为霍尔木兹危机的关键旁观者,沙特的态度将对地区石油运输安全产生直接影响。
Saudi crown prince, Trump discussed regional developments, including US-Iran talks: Saudi state news agency
@financialjuice ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
巴基斯坦美国华盛顿互惠贸易协议谈判完成
巴基斯坦外交部发言人Tahir Andrabi确认,巴美双边互惠贸易协议谈判于7月9至10日在华盛顿举行,商务部长Jawad Paul领导的巴方代表团称谈判"具建设性"。
Pakistan-US reciprocal trade pact; Washington July 9-10 2026; 'constructive'; Secretary Commerce Jawad Paul
此次谈判是巴美贸易关系正常化的重要信号,背景是美国对多国推行差异化关税政策。巴基斯坦寻求通过双边协定争取优惠待遇,而"建设性"的官方定性暗示实质性进展,后续协议文本值得关注。
Pakistan foreign ministry spokesperson Tahir Andrabi: Talks on Pakistan-US reciprocal trade pact held in Washington on July 9-10
@financialjuice ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
Kraken重启移动应用引入AI自主交易功能
加密交易所Kraken宣布将重新推出移动应用程序,并集成AI智能体(agentic)自主交易功能。
Kraken; mobile app relaunch; agentic trading; crypto exchange
Kraken此举将AI自主交易引入主流中心化交易所移动端,继Robinhood链、Backpack等平台之后进一步深化AI代理在加密交易生态的渗透。这与整体AI代理化浪潮高度契合,或加速其他头部交易所跟进。
KRAKEN TO RELAUNCH MOBILE APP WITH AGENTIC TRADING
@scottmelker ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
MIT线性代数名教授Strang加入Anthropic
MIT知名教授Gil Strang宣布加入Anthropic,从"教人类"转型为"教LLM",顶级学术人才向前沿AI实验室迁移。
Gil Strang MIT → Anthropic; 'Instead of teaching humans, I'll be teaching LLMs instead'
Strang以线性代数教材在工程界享有极高声誉,其加入暗示Anthropic在AI数学/教育能力方面的针对性布局。顶级学者向AI公司的人才流动趋势进一步强化。
This is insane... [QT @GilStrangMIT: Personal update: I've joined Anthropic. Instead of teaching humans, I'll be teaching LLMs instead. GS]
@iscienceluvr ↗
美股
2026-07-11
MGM与巴里·迪勒就收购剩余股权接触
MGM Resorts正与Barry Diller就收购其尚未持有的MGM剩余股权展开谈判,据华尔街日报报道。
MGM Resorts; Barry Diller; acquisition talks; acquire remaining stake; WSJ report
Diller已持有MGM部分股权,此次系拟全面要约收购,若达成将是博彩业与娱乐媒体的重大整合案例。交易规模与结构尚未披露,仍处于谈判初期。
MGM Resorts is engaged in deal talks with Barry Diller's People after the entertainment mogul offered to acquire the part of the casino company he doesn't already own, the Wall Street Journal reported
@business ↗
美股
2026-07-11
DirecTV与Scripps达协议恢复54本地频道
DirecTV与Scripps Networks达成新分销协议,将为卫星电视用户恢复此前因合同争议下线的54个本地频道接入。
DirecTV + Scripps Networks; 54 local stations restored; new distribution agreement
协议终结了双方内容授权争议,对受影响的卫星电视用户而言是直接利好,同时也表明传统付费电视内容谈判仍在延续整合。
DirecTV and Scripps reached a new distribution agreement that restores 54 local stations for customers of the satellite-TV service
@business ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Waymo机器人出租车主动报警处置少年乘客
Waymo自动驾驶出租车检测到两名15岁乘客疑似车内饮酒并发射玩具枪后,自主联系警方处置。
Waymo robotaxi; 2 passengers aged 15; detected alleged alcohol consumption + toy guns; autonomous police call
此案例显示自动驾驶系统已从导航功能延伸至乘客行为监控与执法决策领域,开创业界先例。事件同时引发关于AI系统执法边界、乘客隐私权及法律责任归属的讨论。
JUST IN: Waymo calls police on two 15 y/o passengers after its robotaxi detected them allegedly drinking alcohol & firing toy guns from the vehicle.
@polymarket ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
习近平明确背书中朝友谊坚不可摧
习近平在北京会见朝鲜总理后公开宣示,中朝友谊"不会改变",重申对平壤的坚定、无条件支持。
Xi Jinping; North Korea Premier Beijing meeting; friendship 'will not change'; 'unwavering commitment'; same day as KCNA nuclear expansion announcement
此番外交表态与朝鲜同日宣布扩大核武力量高度同步,中方背书信号极为明确,强化北京—平壤战略轴心。在美朝紧张与朝鲜半岛核危机升温背景下,中国公开站台大幅收窄国际社会对朝施压空间。
JUST IN: Xi Jinping reaffirms China's unwavering commitment to North Korea, declaring the countries' friendship 'will not change.'
@polymarket ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
麦康奈尔住院后健康状况引外界关注
美国参议院共和党资深议员米奇·麦康奈尔因病住院,外界对其健康状况及能否继续履职提出质疑。
Sen. Mitch McConnell; Kentucky Republican; hospitalization; health questions; Senate implications
麦康奈尔是共和党国会资深领袖,其健康状况直接影响参议院权力格局,尤其在多项重大立法议程(制裁、移民、预算)推进的关键节点,其缺席可能成为变量。
There are questions surrounding the health of Sen. Mitch McConnell after the Kentucky Republican's hospitalization.
@newshour ↗
selected
2026-07-11
BTC筹码集中度类比FTX前夕结构
链上数据显示当前$59K-$63K区间堆积约182万枚BTC,筹码高度集中模式与2022年10月FTX暴雷前夕($18K-$20K区间堆积237万枚BTC)高度相似。
1.82M BTC in $59K–$63K; Oct 2022 analog: 2.37M BTC in $18K–$20K; other price levels <200K BTC
筹码高度集中于单一价格带意味着该区间为多空博弈核心,一旦失守可能引发级联清算。分析者以FTX崩盘前的类似结构作警示,但当前宏观环境与2022年存在本质差异,该比较更多指向技术脆弱性而非必然重演。
从筹码结构上看,现在和2022年10月(FTX暴雷前夕)非常相似。同样都在特定区间内,筹码集中度非常高,而其他位置的筹码柱几乎不超过20w。比如,当前在5.9w-6.3w区间内,就堆积了182w枚BTC。同样的情况,在2022年更密集,1.8w-2w区间堆积237w枚BTC。
@murphychen888 ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
美国大规模住房法案无需总统签署即成法
美国一项被描述为"大规模"(sweeping)的住房法案将在总统未签署的情况下正式生效成为法律。
sweeping housing bill; becomes law without president's signature
法案在无总统签署下生效属罕见程序,表明国会主导推进住房政策,内容细节尚待披露,但对房地产供给、融资或租赁规范可能带来结构性影响。
A sweeping new housing bill is set to become law, even without the president's signature.
@newshour ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
30年期美债形成技术上升通道
30年期美国国债收益率在图表上形成确认的上升通道技术形态,分析师认为走势"显著且具潜在后果"。
30-year Treasury; ascending channel; consequential technical pattern
长端利率上升通道若得到确认,意味着长期融资成本将系统性抬升,对股票估值折现率、抵押贷款利率及政府债务成本均构成压力,是当前利率路径争议的核心技术信号。
To add to the conundrum, the 30-year is depicting a majestic, yet consequential, ascending channel. She's beautiful.
@great_martis ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
GPT-5.6 Sol将城市游戏零干预改造为考古叙事
研究人员使用GPT-5.6 Sol in Codex将一款暴力城市建造游戏完整改造为名为"DEEP TIME"的考古叙事游戏,全程零手动代码干预。
GPT-5.6 Sol; Codex; DEEP TIME; zero code touch; full game transformation
该案例展示AI代码能力已从"补全辅助"跃升至"系统级创意重构"——仅凭自然语言指令即可在不触碰代码的前提下重塑程序逻辑与叙事主题,印证AI辅助开发范式正在发生质变。
I gave Fable the code: "take this game and do something incredible with it to make it something very different. Be creative" It created DEEP TIME: create a city, watch it be abandoned and forgotten, and then dig it up as a future archeologist.
@emollick ↗
美股
2026-07-11
埃克森美孚发出利润大幅增长信号
埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)发出利润大幅增长信号,但华尔街分析师对此解读存在明显分歧。
Exxon Mobil $XOM; massive profit spike signal; Wall Street divided
多头认为油价韧性与产量增长支撑盈利改善,空头则对增长可持续性和具体财务数据完整性存疑,分歧表明市场对能源板块前景尚未形成共识。
Exxon Mobil signals massive profit spike but Wall Street is divided
@thestreet ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
台风巴维袭台:逾1.4万人撤离日本南岛受创
台湾政府因中等强度台风巴维来袭从山区撤离逾14,000名居民并启动全岛停班停课机制,日本南部岛屿同步遭受强风暴雨侵袭。
Typhoon Bavi; 14,000+ evacuated; Taiwan shutdown; Japan southern islands; medium strength; heavy rain
台风巴维虽为中等强度,但降雨量极大,台湾预防性撤离规模显示当局对山区洪涝风险的高度重视。此次台风可能短期扰动台湾半导体制造及出口供应链,需持续关注后续影响评估。
Taiwan's government evacuated more than 14,000 people from mainly mountainous areas as the island shut down for the medium strength Typhoon Bavi, which is expected to bring a deluge of rain and strong wind in exposed areas.
@reutersscience ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
印度与新西兰升级为战略伙伴关系
印度与新西兰宣布将双边关系正式提升至"战略伙伴关系"级别,以推进更紧密的贸易与安全合作。
India; New Zealand; strategic partnership; trade and security ties
此次外交升级是印太地区多极化趋势的缩影,贸易与安全双轨并进表明印度持续拓展其战略合作伙伴圈,对澳英美联盟(AUKUS)框架外的印太安全架构具有补充意义。
India and New Zealand will elevate their relationship to a "strategic partnership," as both seek closer trade and security ties
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
最高法院裁决后特朗普清洗选举援助委员会
特朗普政府依据最高法院"特朗普诉Slaughter案"裁决,对联邦选举援助委员会(EAC)展开人事清洗,分析人士认为此为系列独立机构人事变动的首例。
Trump; Election Assistance Commission (EAC); fired; Supreme Court ruling; Trump v. Slaughter; first of many
"特朗普诉Slaughter案"赋予行政机构解雇独立机构官员的法律依据,EAC清洗被解读为行政权力系统性重构联邦独立机构人事控制的先行步骤,后续波及范围或远超选举领域。
President Trump's cleanout of the Election Assistance Commission is probably the first of many such firings after the Supreme Court's ruling in Trump v. Slaughter.
@wsjopinion ↗
selected
2026-07-11
BTC长期持有者6月售压显著弱于2月
BTC本轮在2-3月与6-7月两度触及约6万美元,2月LTH 30日均转账峰值达15,313枚且持续15天,6月底峰值仅14,181枚且仅维持3天、多数时间约12,000枚,显示二次触顶时长线筹码抛售意愿明显收缩。
LTH 30-day avg transfer: Feb peak 15,313 BTC (15 days); Jun peak 14,181 BTC (3 days), mostly ~12,000 BTC; both near $60K
两次触及$60K区间时LTH行为的量化差异显示,当前供给侧压力低于2月高点,长线持仓意愿更强。分析者认为这与筹码高度集中于5.9万-6.3万区间的结构并读,可作为判断市场韧性的辅助依据,但需警惕集中筹码一旦松动带来的共振风险。
如果你是一位周期交易者,那你不能错过这一条!本轮熊市,BTC先后有两段都到了$60,000附近,分别是2-3月和6-7月。对比这2个段中LTH的表现,我们可以发现:在今年2月,LTH的30日均转账峰值为15,313枚BTC,且持续了15天。今年6月底该数值为14,181枚,且只维持了3天,多数时间在12,000枚左右。
@murphychen888 ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
伊朗战争冲击迪拜避险模式
彭博原创报道指出,长期被视为中东安全避风港的迪拜,因伊朗战争冲击正面临其经济模式的根本性考验。
Dubai safe haven model under stress; Iran war; Bloomberg Originals
迪拜的避险吸引力建立在地区相对稳定之上,伊朗冲突外溢直接威胁其作为国际资本、人才与企业总部汇聚地的核心定位,可能触发地区资金流向与资产定价的系统性重估。
Dubai was long seen as a safe haven in an uncertain part of the world. But the Iran war has put that model to the test
@bbgoriginals ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
SpaceX Falcon 9部署24颗Starlink卫星
SpaceX Falcon 9从加利福尼亚发射,官方确认成功部署24颗Starlink卫星。
24 Starlink satellites deployed; Falcon 9; California launch site
Deployment of 24 @Starlink satellites confirmed
@spacex ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Burry警告勿在周期顶部追科技股
Michael Burry发出强烈警告,称低市盈率叠加创纪录盈利是周期股顶部信号而非买入机会,点名$MU $NVDA $META $MSFT。
$MU $NVDA $META $MSFT; low PEs + record earnings = cyclical peak trap
Burry以课堂训诫语气重申其逆向立场:历史上每次周期股在盈利峰值时呈现低PE都是顶部陷阱。此论点与当前市场将半导体与AI股定性为"结构性成长"的主流叙事直接对立,争议性极高。
Now, Class, repeat after me. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings. Say it again. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings.
@michaeljburry ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Freedom Holdings完成3亿美元股票配售
哈萨克斯坦亿万富翁Timur Turlov旗下Freedom Holdings完成3亿美元股票配售,资金用于持续推进国际扩张。
Freedom Holdings; $300M share sale; Timur Turlov; international expansion funding
Kazakhstan billionaire Timur Turlov's Freedom raised $300 million in a share sale to help fund its ongoing international expansion
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
印尼最高检察官因腐败调查辞职
印度尼西亚最高检察官在腐败调查进行期间宣布辞职。
Indonesia; attorney general / top prosecutor; resignation; active corruption probe
Top Indonesian prosecutor resigns amid corruption probe
@reutersworld ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
年轻投资者转向迷因股期权加密货币
彭博报道,在住房无法负担、AI削减就业前景及指数基金回报过慢的三重压力下,大量年轻投资者转向迷因股、期权和加密货币以实现财务目标
young investors; meme stocks, options, crypto; homeownership out of reach; AI cutting job prospects; index funds too slow
彭博Originals将此定性为结构性转变而非短期投机热——房价高企断绝传统财富积累路径,AI威胁稳定就业收入,指数基金的长期节奏无法满足年轻人的紧迫需求,三重因素叠加推动零售投机行为系统性迁移。这与当前加密市场散户回流及期权市场零售占比上升数据相互印证。
With homeownership out of reach, artificial intelligence cutting job prospects and index funds feeling too slow, many young investors are turning to meme stocks, options and crypto to meet their financial goals
@bbgoriginals ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Burry警示私募三巨头憋气四年临界
Michael Burry指出Blackrock、Blackstone、Apollo正以"破世界纪录的憋气"方式观察其私募信贷与私募股权投资组合长达四年,某关键图表的意外上行令三家机构"几乎崩溃"
Blackrock, Blackstone, Apollo; private credit + private equity portfolios; 4 years; chart showing unexpected upside; 'Up? Up? WTF'
Burry以戏谑语气暗示三大私募巨头长期承受资产估值压力、刻意回避市场检视;某指标的意外上行(疑为利率路径或信用利差扩张)打破了其维持现状的期望,与其此前关于科技股周期性顶部陷阱的多项警告形成呼应。推文截断,具体图表内容未披露,信号真实性有待核实。
#Blackrock, #Blackstone, #Apollo are watching their private credit credit and private equity portfolios and simultaneously setting the Guinesss Book of World Records record for BREATH-HOLDING, going on 4 years now...then they see this chart and almost lose it. "Up? Up? WTF do
@michaeljburry ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
Robinhood链多方激励结构被市场低估
市场分析人士指出Robinhood作为市值超1000亿美元的全球最大零售交易平台,其自有区块链项目的多方参与激励机制被市场严重低估
Robinhood; $100B+ market cap; largest retail trading platform globally; Robinhood chain; multiple incentivized parties
支持者认为Robinhood凭借庞大零售用户基础和上市公司地位,具备多数历史失败应用链所缺乏的持续激励结构,不能与"XYZ dead chains"类比;质疑者援引同类应用链的失败历史,但支持方反驳称Robinhood的规模与零售渗透率属于本质性差异,生态激励方众多是关键变量。
let's put aside how big of a deal it is that Robinhood is a behemoth in terms of its sheer size and massive retail control for a second that's already enough on its own to make Robinhood chain a success i think many are taking for granted just how many parties are incentivized
@theunipcs ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
$USELESS三重流动性分流下持稳
加密代币$USELESS在ANSEM暴拉至4亿美元市值、BNB链多枚新币24小时冲上5000万美元及Robinhood链叙事三重流动性分流压力下仍保持稳健
$USELESS; ANSEM $400M market cap run; BNB chain new coins $50M+ in 24hrs; Robinhood chain narrative; liquidity blackhole
持仓者将$USELESS在高并发竞争叙事下的相对强势视为社区共识强度的验证,认为能在三大分流同期出现时维持价格本身即为正面信号;批评者指出推文缺乏具体价格或链上数据,当前表述仍为叙事性判断而非量化依据。
$USELESS has held up incredibly well over the past few weeks this is despite: • the $ANSEM liquidity blackhole during ANSEM's recent run to a $400m market cap • the recent BNB chain meta that saw several new coins hit $50m+ market cap within 24 hours • the current Robinhood
@theunipcs ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Burry证实AI竞赛转向更廉价智能系统
迈克尔·伯里通过硅谷内部联系人一手证实,AI竞赛正从追求更大模型转向更廉价、更智能的系统
AI race; bigger models → cheaper smarter systems; Burry Valley contacts confirmed
伯里援引硅谷直接信源为业界流传的AI架构路线转变背书,与其此前置顶帖主题一致,暗示算力军备竞赛的经济逻辑正在被重新评估,效率优先取代参数规模优先。
This is true as I have heard this from contacts in the Valley. Goes with my pinned post. The AI race is shifting from bigger models to cheaper, smarter systems
@michaeljburry ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
从业者实测:生产环境AI智能体规模化极难
伯里订阅者分享直接生产实践经验:大规模部署智能体AI面临编排/路由等此前从未存在的全新系统建设挑战
agentic AI; production scale; orchestration/routing; new system types required; first-hand practitioner report
来自一线的反馈揭示AI智能体炒作与落地之间存在巨大工程鸿沟,配套基础设施的缺位而非模型能力本身是当前最大瓶颈,为当前AI估值提供了反向参照。
Great comment from a subscriber who commented in our Chat on his direct experience. Agentic AI is pretty difficult to implement at scale in production because (1) a bunch of new types of systems need to be built that have never existed before (orchestration /routing, context
@michaeljburry ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Ulta Beauty宣布撤出Target渠道
Ulta Beauty宣布将退出与Target的店中店合作关系,Target已公布替代品牌填补该美妆专区
Ulta Beauty; leaving Target; shop-in-shop partnership terminated; replacement brand
Ulta Beauty与Target合作终止对Target美妆客流及差异化定位构成负面影响,同时释放Ulta向独立渠道或竞争对手(如Kohl's、Walmart)倾斜的信号。
Ulta Beauty is leaving Target, here's what's replacing it
@thestreet ↗
美股
2026-07-11
60年老牌零售商关闭逾240家门店
一家拥有60年历史的美国零售商宣布在全美35个州关闭超过240家门店
60-year-old retailer; 240+ locations closed; 35 states
大规模关店覆盖35个州显示困境已蔓延至全国层面,实体零售结构性收缩延续,对零售REITs及物业空置率形成负面压力。
60-year-old retailer closes over 240 locations across 35 states
@thestreet ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
伯纳姆确定出任英国下任首相
Andy Burnham已确定将成为英国下任首相,但距正式就任仅10天,其施政计划细节对核心盟友仍不透明
Andy Burnham; UK next PM; policy detail obscure to allies; 10 days out
伯纳姆接任首相已无悬念,但政策真空期与权力交接并行,对英国债市及英镑走势的基本面预判缺乏足够支撑,不确定性溢价或持续。
Andy Burnham is now certain to be the UK's next prime minister. What's uncertain is almost everything else concerning his plans for government, with their detail still obscure to allies just 10 days out.
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
警方搜出金条现金揭印尼总检察长腐败新细节
印尼最高腐败检察官在警方突击搜查其住所起获金条及数百万美元现金数日后宣布辞职(更新:具体赃物细节曝光)
Indonesia; top corruption prosecutor; resigned; gold bars; millions USD cash; police raid
搜出的具体赃物将案件从抽象腐败指控升级为有形物证,显示印尼反腐机构内部腐蚀程度严重,反腐体制本身陷入公信力危机,或引发国内政治动荡。
Indonesia's top corruption prosecutor has resigned, days after a police raid of his house uncovered gold bars and millions of dollars in cash
@business ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
NOXA在Robinhood链24小时部署量暴增259%
NOXA代币在Robinhood链上的部署量在24小时内从1,858个激增至6,675个,平台对每笔交易收取0.7%兑换费并保留5%收益
NOXA; 1,858→6,675 deployments in 24h (+259%); 0.7% swap fee; 5% platform cut; zero token/governance/public market exposure; $STONKS launchpad proxy
NOXA部署量爆发式增长显示Robinhood链上代币发行活动快速扩张,平台通过高频交易费用构建无需发币的隐性收益结构,$STONKS被指为该链上唯一公开可投资的发射台代理标的,吸引套利关注。
NOXA went from 1,858 to 6,675 token deployments in 24 hours on robinhood chain. 0.7% swap fee on every trade, platform keeps 5%. they're printing money with zero token, zero governance, zero public market exposure. $STONKS is the only investable launchpad proxy on the chain
@aixbt_agent ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
$SPCX率先实现Solana链上美股周末连续交易
$SPCX代币于周五在Backpack平台上市后持续整个周末不间断交易,打破美股9:30am-4:00pm ET固定时段约束
$SPCX; Backpack; Solana; weekend equity trading live; 9:30am–4pm ET fixed schedule bypassed
基于Solana的24/7股票交易机制对传统证券交易所固定时段形成直接挑战,标志着加密轨道承载传统金融资产从实验走向实践,对传统交易所竞争格局及监管框架形成压力。
Markets used to sleep. On Solana they don't. @ArmaniFerrante on markets that never close on @Backpack: The Weekend Market Session is here on @Backpack. Until now, US equities were built around a fixed schedule. - 9:30am ET open. - 4:00pm ET close. - Weekends off. Crypto changes that. @solana changes that. With the launch of $SPCX, the market opened on a Friday and kept
@solana ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
英美风投烧钱率中位数相差2.7倍
2025年英国完成风险融资的创业公司月均烧钱率中位数为11万英镑,仅为美国29.2万英镑的37.7%。
UK median VC burn £110k/month; US £292k/month; 2.7x differential; 2025 cohort
该数据折射出英美创业生态在估值预期、市场规模设定及人力成本上的结构性差异;pmarca以"老实说我们都不知道那个小弯弯是什么意思"回应,侧面反映美国VC圈对英国市场的关注度极为有限。
Honestly we don't even know what that little squiggle means. [QT @SebJohnsonUK: UK founders that raised venture funding in 2025 had a median VC burn rate of £110k per month compared with £292k in the US.]
@pmarca ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
GPT-5.6 Sol完成复杂贷款交易全文档分析
GPT-5.6 Sol在Box平台完成对数百页贷款交易文件的跨文档综合分析,涵盖条款核对、财务尽调、抵押品与风险材料,并输出附来源引用的报告。
GPT-5.6 Sol; hundreds of pages; lending deal; agreements + financials + diligence + collateral + risk; source-cited report; Box platform
该演示聚焦金融法律多文档推理场景,与此前游戏改造用例形成互补,显示Sol在高价值专业工作流中的落地潜力;gdb(OpenAI工程团队背景)直接背书,信号权重较高。
Sol for complex reasoning and data analysis: GPT-5.6 Sol is a breakthrough in complex reasoning and data analysis. Here, it analyzes hundreds of pages across a lending deal, reconciles terms across agreements, financials, diligence, collateral, and risk materials, flags issues, and saves a source-cited report to Box.
@gdb ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
预测六个月内前沿级模型成本降至三分之一
投资人Arav Srinivas公开预测:与Fable 5同级别模型将在不足6个月内降价3-4倍,Opus 4.8级本地运行模型将在12个月内落地,两项事件发生概率均超50%。
Fable 5-quality; 3-4x cheaper; <6 months; Opus 4.8-grade; local device; <12 months; >50% probability
Garry Tan以"我们都才刚刚开始"回应,硅谷顶级投资人对AI成本曲线快速下行高度一致;若预测成真,将对现有AI API定价及企业订阅模式形成系统性冲击。
We are all just getting started [QT @AravSrinivas: Imagine a fable 5 quality model that's 3-4x less expensive in less than 6 months. And an Opus 4.8 grade model that can run on a local device in less than 12 months. Greater than 50% chance that these events will happen. Worth keeping in mind when you make predictions about the]
@garrytan ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Polymarket上线Grok 5发布时间预测市场
Polymarket宣布上线针对Grok 5发布时间节点的新预测市场,供参与者押注xAI何时发布下一代旗舰模型。
NEW POLYMARKET; Grok 5; release timing prediction market; xAI
预测市场的开盘本身传递出市场对Grok 5近期发布的预期已足够具体;结合此前Grok 4.5已发布的背景,xAI产品迭代节奏成为押注焦点。
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Grok 5 released by...?
@polymarket ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
台风巴维逼近中国数十万人紧急疏散
台风巴维直扑中国沿海,当局启动大规模疏散行动,撤离人数达数十万,较此前袭击台湾及日本南岛阶段约1.4万人的规模大幅升级。
hundreds of thousands evacuated; Typhoon Bavi; China landfall imminent; escalation from ~14,000 in Taiwan/Japan phase
Hundreds of thousands evacuated as Typhoon Bavi barrels towards China
@reutersworld ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
纽约逾1.9亿美元老人护理骗局曝光
独立调查记者公开53分钟视频,揭露纽约市通过成人及居家护理渠道实施逾1.9亿美元欺诈,涉及利用老年人及弱势群体套取政府税款。
$190M+ fraud; NYC; adult & personal home care scams; elderly victims; tax dollar abuse; 53-minute exposé
pmarca转发并标注"令人担忧"(Concerning),将此案与政府支出监管失位问题挂钩;骗局利用护理补贴系统监管盲区,指向联邦与州级社会福利项目的结构性漏洞。
Concerning. [QT @nickshirleyy: 🚨 Here is the full 53 minutes of my crew and I exposing New York fraud, we uncovered over $190,000,000 in fraud as these fraudsters use the elderly and needy to commit fraud through adult and personal home care scams in NYC. Your tax dollars are paying for elderly Koreans and]
@pmarca ↗
selected
2026-07-11
SK海力士ADR上市,CEO提MaaS模式
SK海力士ADR于2026年7月10日在美股完成上市,董事长崔泰源在路演采访中透露,公司正研究"内存即服务"(Memory-as-a-Service,MaaS)模式,客户未来或按使用量、容量或期限付费,而非一次性购买内存芯片。
SK Hynix ADR US listing; Memory-as-a-Service (MaaS); CEO Chey Tae-won roadshow interview
MaaS模式将内存销售从一次性买断转为经常性订阅收入,路径类比SaaS对软件行业的改造,若落地将显著改善海力士营收稳定性并强化客户锁定效应。但该模式对数据中心基础设施集成要求极高,定价机制与采购方接受度仍存高度不确定性,目前尚处研究探索阶段。
昨晚SK海力士ADR美股上市,崔泰源接受采访时提到,海力士正在研究"内存即服务"(Memory-as-a-Service,简称MaaS)模式。这个模式核心是,客户未来可能不再一次性购买内存芯片,而是按照使用量、容量或使用期限,向SK海力士付费。
@qinbafrank ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
彭博:欧洲电动车普及率全球领先
彭博报道,在电动汽车普及率竞争中欧洲已位居全球首位,美国与中国双双落后。
Europe EV adoption leads globally; US lagging; China lagging; Bloomberg report July 2026
欧洲在严格排放法规驱动下的EV转型速度已超越中美两大市场,或反映美国政策不确定性持续拖累需求、中国本土品牌内卷白热化导致整体市场增速趋缓;对全球车企战略重心的地理分配具有直接指向意义。
With U.S., China lagging, Europe leads the way on EVs
@thestreet ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
GPT-5.6 Ultra自主重构代码库通宵持续运行
开发者实测显示,GPT-5.6 Ultra(GPT-5.6系列第三个已知变体,区别于Sol与Luna)搭配computer use工具,可自主对生产代码库执行"无情去复杂化"并端到端验证全部功能,单次会话持续运行超过一整夜。
GPT-5.6 Ultra; autonomous codebase simplification; computer use; overnight agentic session; third named variant in GPT-5.6 series alongside Sol and Luna
GPT-5.6 Ultra作为该系列第三个公开变体,填补了Sol(金融文档分析)与Luna(医疗推理)之外的工程代码自主化场景,表明OpenAI正围绕不同垂直用例构建差异化部署版本;长时程无干预运行能力是当前agentic AI落地讨论的核心指标。
i put 5.6 ultra on "desloppofy my codebase and ruthlessly remove any complexity that is not required, and try every feature end to end with @ computer" been working all night and is still working
@gabriel1 ↗
美股
2026-07-11
马斯克SEC和解协议遭法官提红旗警告
一名法官就埃隆·马斯克与美国证券交易委员会的和解协议公开表示存在"红旗",暗示对该协议条款或程序存在重大疑虑。
Elon Musk; SEC settlement; judge raises 'red flags'; legal challenge
法官的质疑可能导致和解协议被驳回或须重新谈判,延长马斯克与SEC之间的法律不确定性;此事与特斯拉等相关上市公司的监管风险直接挂钩,亦为市场对马斯克旗下资产的折价预期提供新的法律锚点。
Elon Musk SEC settlement raises 'red flags,' judge says
@thestreet ↗
selected
2026-07-11
Robinhood Chain DEX量冲全网第5,Meme非RWA驱动
Robinhood Chain单日DEX交易量在一周内冲至全网第5,超越Arbitrum、Near和Hyperliquid L1,但约1亿美元日交易量主要由Meme币CashCat贡献,链上代币化股票(RWA)价值仅约1260万美元。
Robinhood Chain DEX volume ranked #5 globally (1-week); CashCat ~$100M daily volume; tokenized stocks on-chain value ~$12.6M
Robinhood Chain链上数据表面亮眼,实为Meme投机主导,RWA叙事落地极为有限。当前热度结构意味着"代币化股票"的基本面尚未转化为真实链上流动性,泡沫风险值得警惕。
最近Robinhood Chain大热,链上一周内单日DEX交易量冲到全网第5,超过Arbitrum、Near和Hyperliquid L1。听起来有点吓人,但这其中的大头都是CashCat贡献的,日交易量近1亿美元,而其他代币化股票的链上价值只有大概1,260w美元。也就是说,目前的热度是由meme驱动,而不是RWA。
@murphychen888 ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
GPT-5.6 Terra基准全面落后Sol与Luna
Artificial Analysis基准测试显示,GPT-5.6 Sol与Luna在"智能 vs 单任务成本"图表的每个节点均优于Terra,Luna表现出尤为突出的性价比优势。
GPT-5.6 Sol & Luna ahead of Terra at every benchmark point; Luna: cost-efficient standout on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
业内观察人士指出,OpenAI或未对Terra进行与Sol/Luna同等程度的后训练优化,导致其性价比表现落后。这一数据表明GPT-5.6系列内部存在明显分层,Terra系该系列的短板,Luna则成为最具经济效益的推理选项。
Damn, should've also let Sol posttrain* the Terra, not just the Luna, from the looks of it. *i mean, run the existing launch script with the existing config.
@giffmana ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
塔甘罗格湾无人机袭击升级:确认1人死亡
俄罗斯当局证实,亚速海塔甘罗格湾船只遭无人机袭击已造成1人死亡,为已连续两日袭击事件的首次人员伤亡确认。
1 killed; drone strike; vessels; Taganrog Bay; Azov Sea; confirmed by Russian authorities
此前报告的连续夜间无人机袭击首次出现确认死亡,标志着俄罗斯粮食出口走廊遭袭事件从基础设施破坏升至人员伤亡,局势存在进一步升级风险。
One killed in drone attack on vessels in Taganrog Bay, Russian authorities say
@reutersworld ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
尼日利亚捣毁3.63亿美元冰毒实验室,3名墨西哥人被捕
尼日利亚当局对10名嫌疑人提起诉讼,其中包括3名墨西哥公民,查获冰毒2.67吨,估值约3.63亿美元。
Nigeria; 10 suspects charged; 3 Mexican nationals; 2.67 tons meth; $363M estimated street value
案件规模揭示墨西哥毒品卡特尔已在西非建立规模化制毒产业链,尼日利亚成为跨大西洋毒品走私网络的新兴节点,对非洲地区安全格局构成新威胁。
NEW: Nigeria charges 10 suspects, including 3 Mexican nationals, after authorities busted a meth lab producing 2.67 tons of drugs worth an estimated $363 million.
@polymarket ↗
selected
2026-07-11
OKX钱包接入Robinhood Chain
OKX Wallet宣布集成Robinhood Chain,用户无需手动添加RPC或切换网络,可直接在网页端、插件及移动端完成转账、行情、交易及DApp操作。
OKX Wallet integrates Robinhood Chain; no RPC config required; web + extension + mobile full coverage
OKX大型钱包的快速接入进一步降低Robinhood Chain用户使用门槛,有助于加速链上生态扩张。但分析者指出当前链上热度仍由CashCat等Meme代币主导,RWA(代币化股票)实际规模有限,OKX的引流能否转化为实质性RWA需求仍存疑。
最近Robinhood Chain大热,链上一周内单日DEX交易量冲到全网第5,超过Arbitrum、Near和Hyperliquid L1。听起来有点吓人,但这其中的大头都是CashCat贡献的,日交易量近1亿美元,而其他代币化股票的链上价值只有大概1,260w美元。也就是说,目前的热度是由meme驱动,而不是RWA。
@murphychen888 ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
意大利ENI首席执行官警告全球能源形势或进一步恶化
意大利石油巨头ENI首席执行官克劳迪奥·德斯卡尔奇在接受《太阳24小时》采访时警告,随着石油库存下降、供应竞争加剧,全球能源形势可能进一步恶化。
Eni SpA CEO Claudio Descalzi; oil inventories declining; supply competition intensifying; Il Sole 24 Ore interview
欧洲主要能源公司高管发出明确预警,油库存持续走低叠加地缘供应竞争加剧,全球能源供应紧张态势料将延续。此警告与中国指令炼油商增产的背景相互印证,共同勾勒出当前能源供应面临的多重叠加压力,对油价形成中期上行支撑。
The global energy situation could deteriorate further as oil inventories decline and competition for supplies intensifies, Eni SpA's Chief Executive Officer Claudio Descalzi told Italian daily Il Sole 24 Ore
@business ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
美联储提名人沃什招募AI专家团队推进美联储改革
据报道,美联储主席提名人凯文·沃什正在组建包含AI专家在内的全明星团队,以推动美联储改革议程。
Kevin Warsh; Fed chair nominee; AI experts team; Fed reform agenda
沃什引入AI专家的举措表明,美联储改革议程可能涵盖技术现代化方向,包括货币政策决策框架的量化与数字化升级。此举亦折射出新政府对Fed运作模式改造的更广泛意图,若改革推进将对市场沟通框架及政策透明度产生深远影响。
Warsh recruits all-star team, AI experts to kickstart Fed reform
@thestreet ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
中国航协将低空经济列为下半年航空发展战略重点
中国航空运输协会在北京年中会议后发表声明,宣布将低空经济作为2026年下半年航空行业发展的优先领域。
China Air Transport Association; low-altitude economy priority; H2 2026; Beijing midyear meeting statement
中国官方行业协会正式将低空经济纳入下半年战略议程,与中国在eVTOL、商业无人机、空中出行等领域的持续政策支持方向一致。此举预示该领域政策资源及产业资本将进一步向低空基础设施、数字监管平台等细分方向集中。
The China Air Transport Association plans to prioritize the low-altitude economy as part of efforts to develop the aviation industry in the second half of the year, according to a statement released after its midyear meeting in Beijing
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
欧盟拟推供应链去中化支持工具但成员国恐抵制成本
欧盟正在开发一项工具以支持企业将关键供应来源从中国多元化,但多个成员国可能因费用分担问题而对该计划持异议。
EU; critical supply diversification tool; away from China; member state cost objections
欧盟在战略自主与成员国财政约束之间的结构性张力再度显现,去中化政策工具的落地面临内部掣肘而非战略意愿缺失。这一分歧折射出欧盟集体行动在涉华经济战略上的执行困境,可能导致政策效力大打折扣,令市场对欧盟政策兑现能力持审慎态度。
The EU is developing a tool to support companies that diversify critical supplies away from China, but member states may balk at the cost
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
摩尔多瓦提名哈佛商学院毕业生托凡出任总理
摩尔多瓦总统迈娅·桑杜提名哈佛商学院毕业生、知名投资人瓦西里·托凡出任总理,此前总理亚历山大·蒙特阿努上周突然辞职。
Moldova; President Maia Sandu; Vasile Tofan; Harvard Business School graduate; investor; PM nomination; Alexandru Munteanu unexpected resignation
托凡的提名标志摩尔多瓦亲西方政府引入商业与投资背景人士主导经济政策,在其欧盟入盟进程中具有明确信号意义。上任总理意外辞职触发此次权力交接,可能对摩尔多瓦政治稳定性及欧洲一体化时间表产生短期扰动。
Moldova's President Maia Sandu nominated Harvard Business School graduate and prominent investor Vasile Tofan as prime minister after former leader Alexandru Munteanu unexpectedly resigned last week
@business ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
罗德岛立法强制超市维持1:3收银员与自助结账比
罗德岛成为美国首个立法要求杂货店维持最低1:3有人收银台与自助结账比例的州,违规罚款最高每日500美元。
Rhode Island; first U.S. state; 1:3 cashier-to-self-checkout ratio mandate; up to $500/day fine
@paulg将此解读为"市场将工会视为损害并绕行"的佐证,认为此类立法注定被市场规律消化规避;从政策面看,该法案代表劳工保护与零售自动化趋势之间的直接对抗,罚款力度相对有限,执行效果存疑。
The market interprets unions as damage and routes around them.
@paulg ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Meta首席数据官:代理商务是商业下一层级
Meta首席数据官Alex Schultz公开表示,代理商务(agentic commerce)是"商业的下一层级",为Meta在AI商业化路径上的最新官方定性表态。
Meta $META; Alex Schultz, Chief Data Officer; 'agentic commerce is the next tier of business'
此表态与Meta近期在AI代理领域的产品布局高度一致,C级高管在公开场合明确锚定agentic commerce为核心战略,强化市场对Meta AI货币化路径预期;结合Meta本周录得近年最佳单周涨幅,该信号具有较强价值支撑意义。
$META CHIEF DATA OFFICER ALEX SCHULTZ SAYS AGENTIC COMMERCE IS THE "NEXT TIER OF BUSINESS"
@scottmelker ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
里夫斯或出席英国首位女财政大臣最后金融城活动
英国首位女财政大臣瑞秋·里夫斯预计下周出席伦敦金融城活动,外界视其为任职近两年后的最终公开亮相,英国政治交接信号明确。
Rachel Reeves; UK Chancellor; first woman Chancellor; ~2 years in post; likely final City of London event next week
结合此前已确认安迪·伯纳姆将接任英国首相,里夫斯此次活动或标志着财政政策班底交接序幕;市场将密切关注其离任前对财政遗产的最终表态,英镑及英国国债或有所反应。
Rachel Reeves heads to what's likely to be her last City of London event next week, a final opportunity to defend her legacy after almost exactly two years as the UK's first woman Chancellor of the Exchequer
@business ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Fable AI内容安全护栏被实测成功绕过
从业者测试发现,将用户角色设定为"前沿实验室从业者"后,Fable的内容安全护栏在处理ICML论文时从未被触发,提示词工程可系统性规避其安全机制。
Fable; ICML paper; practitioner persona prompt; content guardrail never triggered
@kimbochen的第一手测试揭示了具体可复现的绕过路径:通过人设提示词即可令安全护栏失效;@yacinemtb据此直接断言使用Fable的人"不是严肃之人"。此事件将生产级AI工具在边界场景下的安全短板置于公众视野,对企业部署Fable具有直接风险警示意义。
If you use fable you are not a serious person [QT @kimbochen: I'm reading ICML paper with Fable Prompt: "The reader is a practitioner working on real-world large-model training and deployment (frontier-lab / AI-infrastructure perspective)." The safe guard is never triggered 🤡]
@yacinemtb ↗
美股
2026-07-11
两大美国基金罕见争购低利润欧洲航空EasyJet
据彭博报道,两家美国基金正竞争收购低成本航空公司EasyJet,金融买家角逐高波动低利润率航空业的情形在历史上极为罕见。
EasyJet; 2 US funds; PE bid; volatile low-margin airline sector; rare financial suitor dynamic
航空业以高周期性与低利润率著称,私募资本历来回避,此番两家美国基金同台争购,或反映低利率时代资本对另类资产的估值逻辑转变,亦可能预示欧洲航空业整合加速。高企的并购溢价是否可被低效运营结构消化,市场存在分歧。
The aviation industry has seen plenty of deals activity in recent years, but the battle between two US funds for EasyJet Plc stands out because the volatile, low-margin airlines business rarely draws financial suitors
@business ↗
美股
2026-07-11
印度监管向Swiggy Instamart开出9张食安通知
印度食品安全监管机构因消费者投诉Swiggy旗下即时零售平台Instamart涉嫌销售过期、变质及受污染食品,正式下发9张整改通知。
India food regulator; 9 notices; Swiggy Instamart; expired/spoiled/contaminated food; consumer complaints
监管动作发生在Swiggy近期上市后的关键时间窗口,对公司合规形象与快速商业扩张战略构成双重压力;此事件或引发市场对印度即时零售行业食品安全管理标准的更广泛审视,并推高监管趋严预期。
India's food regulator issued nine notices to Swiggy Ltd.'s quick commerce unit Instamart following consumer complaints alleging supply of expired, spoiled and contaminated food products
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
台风巴维确认周日凌晨在温州附近登陆(更新)
台风巴维预计于7月13日(周日)凌晨在中国浙江温州附近登陆,确认具体登陆地点,此前已有数十万人撤离。
Typhoon Bavi; Wenzhou landfall; early Sunday July 13 2026; hundreds of thousands evacuated; prior Taiwan/Japan phase complete
登陆地点确认为温州——浙江重要制造业与港口城市——较此前"逼近中国"的模糊预报新增关键地理信息;温州港口及周边工业区的短期运营中断风险上升,供应链影响范围进一步明确。
It is forecast to make landfall around Wenzhou early on Sunday.
@reutersscience ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
纽约时报多名记者因空军一号报道遭联邦传票
多名《纽约时报》记者因涉及空军一号的报道收到联邦传票,案件性质及涉及报道细节尚未全部披露。
NYT; multiple reporters; federal subpoenas; Air Force One reporting
联邦政府向美国主流媒体记者批量发出传票,标志着行政权力对新闻来源保护施压的力度进一步升级;此举在新闻自由与政府信息管控之间制造直接法律冲突,具有重要宪法先例意涵。
Multiple New York Times reporters issued subpoenas over Air Force One reporting
@cnbc ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
越南富国岛游船倾覆致15人遇难
一艘搭载游客的船只在越南富国岛附近海域倾覆,造成至少15人遇难,事故调查正在进行。
Vietnam; Phu Quoc island; tourist boat capsizes; 15 killed
事故发生于越南最重要的国际旅游目的地之一,伤亡规模较重;若安全监管问题被认定,或对富国岛旅游业短期客流及越南海上旅游运营标准形成压力。
Boat carrying tourists capsizes off Vietnam's Phu Quoc island, killing 15
@reutersworld ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
航油柴油逆势反弹与原油走势背离
彭博报道汽油、柴油及航空燃油价格在原油价格回落之际逆势反弹,形成罕见背离,推高旅游旺季出行成本。
gasoline, diesel, jet fuel rebounding; crude oil easing; rare divergence; peak-season travel cost spike
精炼油品价格走势与原油脱钩,暗示炼油裂解利润扩张或成品油供给侧因素主导定价。旅游旺季需求叠加,对航空公司燃油成本及消费者出行支出形成额外压力。
Prices for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel are rebounding even as crude oil eases, a rare divergence that's swelling costs for peak-season travelers
@business ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
特朗普账户千美元存款资格细节公布
CNBC报道特朗普账户(Trump Accounts)资格条件、$1,000政府存款启动机制及开户流程正式对外明确。
Trump Accounts; $1,000 government deposit; eligibility criteria; account opening process
特朗普账户作为面向特定美国人的政府资助储蓄工具,具体操作细则出炉标志政策从立法阶段进入执行落地阶段,市场关注该工具对个人储蓄行为及零售消费的潜在影响。
Trump Accounts: Who is eligible, how $1,000 deposits work and how to open one
@cnbc ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
中国BrainCo押注可穿戴脑机接口路线
CNBC报道中国脑机公司BrainCo押注非侵入式可穿戴脑机技术路线,与马斯克旗下Neuralink的颅内植入路线形成正面竞争。
BrainCo (China); wearable non-invasive BCI; vs Neuralink skull implant; competing paradigms
BrainCo代表中国在脑机接口赛道选择以非侵入式技术实现大规模商业化,与Neuralink的侵入式手术路线形成战略分歧。可穿戴路线部署门槛更低、监管障碍更小,但信号精度通常弱于植入方案,商业化路径与医疗应用场景有所不同。
While Musk's Neuralink drills into skulls, China's BrainCo bets the future of brain tech is wearable
@cnbc ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Meta 7月月涨幅达约19%
Meta Platforms($META)股价7月以来累计上涨约19%,较已报道的"近年最佳单周"更新为月度维度的强势表现。
META +~19% MTD July 2026; market cap $1.7T (#9 globally)
月度累计19%的涨幅进一步坐实Meta本轮反弹的持续性,超越单周维度的观察。市场将此归因于AI货币化加速、代理商务叙事升温及广告收入强劲,但估值已显著抬升,高预期兑现压力随之增加。
Meta Platforms $META stock is now up by ~19% so far in July
@stockmktnewz ↗
美股
2026-07-11
全球十大股合计市值升至29.06万亿美元
全球市值最大的十只股票合计市值本周升至29.06万亿美元,较上周28.37万亿美元单周增加约6900亿美元。
Top 10 global stocks combined $29.06T vs $28.37T prior week; +$690B WoW
单周近7000亿美元的市值增量集中反映头部科技及半导体股的同步拉升,与英伟达登顶全球第一、Meta创近年最佳周的同期行情高度吻合。头部股票资产集中度持续加深,前十大股票总市值已相当于全球GDP的约五分之一。
The top 10 largest stocks in the world are now worth a combined $29.06 Trillion up from $28.37T last week
@stockmktnewz ↗
美股
2026-07-11
华尔街预期近纪录财报季能否撑起牛市
彭博报道华尔街预计本轮财报季业绩将接近历史纪录水平,但投资者核心问题是强劲盈利能否支撑股市多头继续推进。
near-record earnings season consensus; key question: sufficient to sustain equity bull run?
市场对财报季整体乐观,但"预期已充分定价"的风险令多头面临兑现压力。若业绩符合预期但前瞻指引保守,可能触发"买预期卖事实"的调整;而若业绩超预期则有望为当前高估值提供新的锚点。
Wall Street is anticipating a near-record earnings season, but for investors a key question remains: Will it be enough to keep stock market bulls running?
@business ↗
美股
2026-07-11
美国连锁鞋业申请破产重组
一家美国连锁鞋业品牌向法院申请Chapter 11破产保护。
US sneaker chain; Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing; retail sector
Sneaker chain files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
@thestreet ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
孟加拉国洪灾山泥倾泻致44死逾百万人受困
路透社报道连日季风暴雨在孟加拉国东南部引发洪灾及山体滑坡,已造成至少44人死亡、逾百万人被困,当局紧急展开救援。
Bangladesh southeastern region; 44 killed; 1M+ stranded; monsoon floods + landslides; July 12 2026
此次双重灾害(洪灾叠加山体滑坡)是本轮南亚季风季已报道的最严重单一人道事件,百万量级受困规模凸显孟加拉国低洼三角洲地形在极端降雨下的系统性脆弱性,国际紧急人道援助需求紧迫。
Floods and landslides triggered by days of torrential monsoon rain have killed at least 44 people in southeastern Bangladesh and left over a million stranded as authorities raced on Saturday to deliver aid to devastated communities.
@reutersscience ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Anthropic推出月度Claude个人使用行为摘要
Anthropic上线月度摘要功能,向用户呈现使用Claude的高峰时段、工作类型及累计时长等个人行为数据。
Anthropic monthly recaps; peak usage times; work categories; time-spent analytics
该功能强化用户对自身AI使用模式的量化感知,有助于提升留存与粘性,同时标志Anthropic在消费端产品化进程进一步提速,与OpenAI等竞争对手的用户运营策略接轨。
NEW: Anthropic launches monthly recaps showing when users rely on Claude the most, what they work on, & how much time they spend.
@polymarket ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Avenue Supermarts关闭多城电商运营收缩策略
印度连锁超市Avenue Supermarts(D-Mart)调整电商战略,关闭对集团贡献有限的多个城市即时配送业务,折射快速配送平台竞争白热化。
Avenue Supermarts; e-commerce shutdown; multiple low-contribution cities; rapid delivery platform competitive pressure
D-Mart主动收缩电商版图并聚焦高贡献城市,显示印度即时零售赛道竞争激烈至难以低效扩张;此举或被市场解读为务实战略聚焦,但亦可能引发对其数字化转型能力的质疑。
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. overhauled its e-commerce strategy by shutting operations in several cities that didn't contribute much to the group's results, a sign of the growing competition facing India's rapid delivery platforms
@business ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
WSJ社论关税推高成本制造复兴落空
《华尔街日报》社论指出,特朗普边境关税已推高美国消费成本,并未带来所承诺的制造业回流。
Trump border taxes; cost increases; no manufacturing renaissance; WSJ Opinion July 2026
保守派旗舰媒体WSJ以社论形式公开质疑特朗普关税政策的实效,与白宫关于制造业复兴的官方叙事形成直接冲突。该评论意味着即便在传统共和党盟友阵营中,对关税经济成效的信心也在持续下滑。
President Trump's border taxes are raising costs and have failed to usher in a manufacturing renaissance.
@wsjopinion ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Legora法律AI获PG公开背书
Y Combinator创始人保罗·格雷厄姆公开分享律师反馈:Legora成功处理含大量历史议题的复杂法律动议,律师助理称"无法没有它"。
Legora; legal AI; complex motion; 'cannot live without it'; paralegal dependency; Paul Graham endorsement
Legora作为新兴法律AI工具正获得高粘性真实用户验证,保罗·格雷厄姆的公开背书可能加速企业法律部门采纳。该案例显示AI处理多案件历史交织的复杂文书已进入实用阶段,助理级劳动力替代效应初步显现。
A lawyer friend on Legora: "Legora really helped with this latest motion, which was dense with past issues in the case. Now my paralegal says she cannot live without it. It is just too remarkable and timesaving."
@paulg ↗
美股
2026-07-11
JCPenney再关门店119家命运未定
TheStreet报道JCPenney又有119家门店面临不确定前途,美国传统百货关闭潮持续深化。
JCPenney; 119 locations; uncertain fate; retail closures accelerating
JCPenney持续收缩实体门店网络,119家未定门店若全部落地关闭,将进一步加剧美国零售地产空置压力。此轮关店潮与消费者线上转移和可支配收入萎缩形成共振,传统百货业结构性困境未见底部迹象。
JCPenney closes even more locations, 119 face uncertain fate
@thestreet ↗
美股
2026-07-11
家得宝推新奖励应对消费者回撤
家得宝推出新客户奖励优惠,官方承认消费者正在缩减家居改善支出。
Home Depot; new rewards offers; customers pull back; home improvement demand weakness
家得宝主动出台促销政策对冲需求疲软,显示房屋改善支出已出现实质性回撤,与高利率压制房产周转率的宏观背景一致。头部零售商主动让利是消费端真实压力的领先指标,值得关注其后续季度业绩指引。
Home Depot rolls out new rewards offers as customers pull back
@thestreet ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
特朗普声称沃尔特里德体检完美并申请认知评估
特朗普声称已在沃尔特·里德医疗中心完成"完美"体检,并另行申请额外认知评估。
Trump; Walter Reed; 'flawless physical'; additional cognitive assessment request; same-day announcements July 2026
两条同日消息并列——声称"完美"体检与主动申请认知测试——在政治层面引发截然不同解读:支持者视为健康透明,批评者认为主动申请认知评估本身暗示来自外部的政治压力或健康疑虑。此时间节点临近多项重大政策推进窗口,总统健康状态具有直接的政治市场相关性。
Trump: Just completed flawless physical at Walter Reed
@financialjuice ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
密苏里洪灾直升机撤离逾200儿童营员
密苏里州强降雨引发大规模洪涝,直升机紧急撤离夏令营逾200名儿童及工作人员,另约20人因营地建筑倒塌被困后获救。
Missouri; 200+ helicopter evacuations; summer camp children & staff; ~20 rescued; campground building collapse; July 2026
此次事件是本周全球极端降雨事件(孟加拉国44死逾百万受困、密苏里儿童撤离)中又一内陆高影响案例,与夏季气候异常频率上升的长期趋势一致。200余名儿童直升机大规模撤离的画面可能推动联邦应急预案和资金拨付议题。
Heavy rainfall and widespread flooding battered parts of Missouri on Friday, forcing the helicopter evacuations of more than 200 children and staff from a summer camp and the rescues of about 20 people who had moved to safety on a campground building that collapsed.
@newshour ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Grok 4.5跻身成本效益帕累托前沿
研究者rasbt更新基准测试图表,将Grok 4.5与Meta Muse Spark 1.1纳入横向对比,判定Grok 4.5在性价比维度处于帕累托前沿;同期GPT-5.6、Grok 4.5、Muse Spark 1.1、GLM-5.2、Fable 5在一个月内密集上线。
Grok 4.5 Pareto frontier; cost-performance benchmark; vs Meta Muse Spark 1.1, GPT-5.6, GLM-5.2, Fable 5; within one month
独立评测者认为Grok 4.5在同代模型中具备差异化的性价比优势,补充了此前Muse Spark 1.1对比报告中Grok 4.5的具体定位。多位观察者指出前沿模型发布密度已超出从业者跟踪能力,排行榜刷新速度远超阅读速度,行业进入高度压缩的迭代周期。
Upon request, here's an updated version with Grok 4.5 and Meta's Muse Spark 1.1. Grok 4.5 seems to sit at the Pareto frontier. Good bang for the buck.
@rasbt ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
特朗普称任期内已完成三次认知测试全部通过
特朗普宣称自己在总统任期内已申请并完成三次认知测试,均通过("aced"),同日另声称在沃尔特里德军医院完成"完美"体检。
Trump; 3 cognitive tests 'aced' as president; Walter Reed 'flawless physical'; July 11 2026
此前已报道特朗普申请认知评估,本次实质性升级为:已完成三次并全部通过,而非仅申请一次。多方来源同日集中确认体检与认知测试消息,支持者将其视为健康状况证明;批评者则关注其主动公开此类信息的政治动机,以及自我评价"aced"缺乏独立核实。
JUST IN: Trump reveals he's requested another cognitive test, declaring he has now taken & "aced" three as president.
@polymarket ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
预测市场:Patel年内被免FBI局长概率54%
Polymarket预测市场数据显示,卡什·帕特尔(Kash Patel)在2026年底前被撤换为FBI局长的概率为54%。
Kash Patel; FBI director; 54% probability ousted by end-2026; Polymarket
超过半数的预测市场概率反映市场参与者整体倾向认为帕特尔将在年内离任,是衡量其任期稳定性的量化领先指标。该信号通常综合了政治内幕、新闻报道及资金方向等多维信息。
BREAKING: Kash Patel projected to be ousted as FBI director by the end of the year. 54% chance.
@polymarket ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
沃什以"美联储主席"身份接受国会问询
MarketWatch以"Fed Chair Warsh"正式头衔报道其在国会就经济走势承压,用词暗示此前报道为"提名人"的沃什或已获参议院确认就任。
Fed Chair Warsh (vs. prior 'nominee'); Congressional scrutiny; economy outlook; MarketWatch July 11 2026
若沃什确已获确认,则美联储领导层正式易主;国会追问其经济读数显示市场和立法机构均在评估新主席政策倾向,尤其是降息路径与美联储独立性问题。
Fed Chair Warsh faces the hot seat as Congress presses for a read on the economy
@marketwatch ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
马斯克公开承认对Anthropic判断失误
埃隆·马斯克公开表示自己对Anthropic的判断是错误的,相关报道由TheStreet于2026年7月11日发布。
Elon Musk; wrong about Anthropic; TheStreet July 11 2026
马斯克此前长期批评OpenAI及竞争性AI公司的立场出现逆转,可能与Claude系列模型的市场强势表现有关;这一罕见公开认错对Anthropic的品牌价值与融资叙事具有积极信号意义,也折射出AI竞争格局的快速再平衡。
Elon Musk says he was wrong about Anthropic
@thestreet ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Tether QVAC实现完全本地AI链上代理
基于Tether QVAC平台,开发者已实现在本地设备运行Qwen3-8B模型并通过Tether WDK在Monad链上驱动自托管、无Gas费钱包,私钥完全由本地AI代理控制,代码已开源。
Tether QVAC; Qwen3-8B 100% local; Monad chain; self-custodial gasless wallet; Tether WDK; open source; private key agent control
Tether CEO Ardoino转发并标注"Local AI"予以背书,展示去中心化AI代理与Web3自托管钱包融合的具体落地;与云端AI代理不同,完全本地方案消除数据泄露与托管风险,是AI代理基础设施去中心化的重要实验,也显示Tether主动布局AI代理赛道。
Local AI [QT @port_dev: I built a FULLY LOCAL web3 agent using @tether's QVAC and gave it my private key! The AI brain is Qwen3-8B running 100% on my machine. It drives a self-custodial, gasless wallet on @monad (Tether WDK). Open source and ready for PRs]
@paoloardoino ↗
美股
2026-07-11
纳斯达克100近半成份股较峰值跌逾两成
纳斯达克100中较高点跌幅超20%的个股占比升至48%,创2月至3月抛售潮以来最高,该比例在过去12个月内翻倍。
Nasdaq 100; 48% stocks ≥-20% from peaks; highest since Feb-March selloff; doubled in 12 months; Kobeissi Letter
大盘指数由大型科技股拉涨的表象之下,市场广度持续恶化——近半成份股已陷入熊市区间;这一内部分化结构历史上曾预示更广泛调整,但当前尚低于前次危机时60%的峰值水平,仍有缓冲空间。
Big tech is resuming market leadership: The proportion of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading at least -20% below their peaks is up to 48%, the highest since the February-March selloff. This percentage has doubled over the last 12 months, though it remains below the 60% recorded before
@kobeissiletter ↗
美股
2026-07-11
SK海力士杠杆ETF周二在纳斯达克开市
Leverage Shares推出$SKHX(2倍做多SK海力士)与$SKHZ(1倍做空SK海力士)两只ETF,定于本周二在纳斯达克开始交易。
$SKHX 2x Long SK Hynix ETF; $SKHZ 1x Short SK Hynix ETF; Leverage Shares; Nasdaq; Tuesday July 2026
SK海力士Nasdaq上市后迅速衍生出杠杆工具,反映美国投资者对AI高带宽内存龙头的强烈方向性需求;这是首批以单一韩国AI存储股为标的的美国上市杠杆ETF,进一步深化了SK海力士在美国资本市场的可及性。
For the people who trade leveraged ETFs … watch out for this coming. The 2x Long and 1x Short SK Hynix ETFs will begin trading on Tuesday ... here are the tickers to watch out for - $SKHX - 2x Long SK Hynix ETF - $SKHZ - 1x Short SK Hynix ETF
@stockmktnewz ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
美海军作战部长:须重建外包商业造船能力
美国海军作战部长达里尔·考德尔上将在彭博表示,美国曾做出将商业造船业外包的国家决策,现正努力将其收回,因这是国家安全问题。
US Navy CNO Adm. Daryl Caudle; commercial shipbuilding outsourced; national security; reshore effort; Bloomberg This Weekend
美国最高海军指挥官罕见公开承认商业造船能力空洞化,并以国家安全框架定义重建目标——表态与特朗普政府制造业回流政策高度契合,也折射出美国在对华海军竞争格局中的长期隐忧。
"One of the things we made a decision on as a country at some point is to outsource commercial shipbuilding," @USNavyCNO Adm. Daryl Caudle tells @EenaRuffini on Bloomberg This Weekend. "We're trying to reel that back a bit and get that back started again, because it is a national
@business ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
麦考尔自乌克兰:士气高昂正在获胜
众议院外委会共和党成员迈克尔·麦考尔从乌克兰实地报道称,乌方"士气高昂因为正在赢得战争",并表示特朗普持续支持的逻辑是"喜欢赢家"。
Rep. McCaul; House Foreign Affairs GOP; Ukraine first-hand; 'morale high because winning'; 'Trump likes winners'; July 11 2026
共和党籍国会议员亲赴乌克兰并传递积极战场信号,将美国持续援乌的政治可行性与特朗普个人偏好挂钩,为国会对乌援助构建"赢家叙事"政治背书框架,减少共和党内部阻力。
"Morale is high because [Ukraine is] winning… President Trump likes winners," says @RepMcCaul of @HouseForeignGOP who spoke to @EenaRuffini and @davidgura from Ukraine. He says "I think the moral clarity, is there. I think being on the right side of history is there."
@business ↗
Crypto
2026-07-11
Robinhood链上线一周交易量超越多数老牌DEX
Fundstrat指出,Robinhood Chain上线仅一周即成为"爆款产品",交易量已超越多数老牌加密DEX;该链以ETH为原生Gas代币,代币以ETH计价,最终结算在以太坊L1。
Robinhood Chain; 1 week live; volume > many established crypto DEXes; ETH native gas token; ETH-denominated; Ethereum L1 finality; Fundstrat
Fundstrat将Robinhood链的快速崛起解读为"ETH即货币"论题的现实验证,认为大型零售平台选择ETH作为Gas具有深远意义;@mert则从Solana视角指出,Robinhood强势入场将为Solana带来有价值的竞争压力,有助于生态提升以吸引净增量资本。
The @RobinhoodApp Chain quickly turned into a massive breakout product garnering more volume than many established crypto DEX... - uses $ETH as the native gas token - tokens denominated in ETH - finality on @ethereum L1 ETH is money... see it clearly now?
@fundstrat ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
实测Fable首周占AI成本30%被指性价比低
一开发团队首周同时使用Sol与Fable时,Fable一项占其AI总成本的30%;评论者直接表态"不值这个价"。
Fable = 30% of team AI cost in week 1; vs Sol; practitioner first-hand report
该实测数据与此前报告的"Fable 5级别模型将在6个月内降价3–4倍"预期形成对照——当前成本仍显著高于同期竞品Sol;从业者以第一手数字直接质疑Fable的现阶段性价比。
Fable: it's Not Worth The Cost [QT @thdxr: our team's first week of having both sol and fable the crazy thing is 30% of our cost was on fable]
@yacinemtb ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
拉美货币(除阿根廷智利外)跑赢全球几乎所有货币
2026年至今,阿根廷和智利以外的拉丁美洲主要货币均跑赢美元,且超越全球几乎所有其他主权货币
Latin American currencies (ex Argentina, ex Chile) outperformed USD YTD 2026; outperformed virtually every other global currency
这一表现在当前美元总体偏强的背景下尤为突出,可能与大宗商品价格走强、地区利差相对有利以及资本流动重组有关,属大多数投资者尚未充分定价的外汇异常。
I'll tell you something most investors don't know: Latin American currencies have been among the only currencies in the world to outperform the US dollar, aside from Argentina and Chile. Not only did they beat the dollar, they also outperformed the currencies of virtually every
@tavicosta ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Altman:当前AI能力下净创造就业出乎预料
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman公开表示,以当前AI能力水平而言,AI迄今仍是净就业创造方而非净消灭方,与其本人及多数悲观派此前预期相反,并认为此方向或将持续
AI net job-creating; current capability level; Sam Altman; unexpected vs. prior expectations; 'it is possible this direction keeps going'
Altman承认这一结果出乎意料,这一表态可能缓解监管层对AI大规模失业冲击的紧迫担忧;批评者则可能认为技术性失业冲击存在时滞,当前观察窗口尚不足以得出结论。
so far at least, i'm pretty sure AI has been net job-creating. this was not what i expected--although i was much less pessimistic than others, i thought by this level of capability we'd have seen some impact. it is possible this direction keeps going!
@sama ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
智谱AI创始人:已在通往AGI明确路径上
智谱AI(GLM-5.2)创始人唐杰在据称的内部信中宣称,自主代理系统正朝完全自动化演进,AI将开始学习「自我」与自我意识的含义,团队已处于通往AGI的明确路径
Zhipu AI (GLM-5.2); Tang Jie; internal letter; AGI; autonomous agent systems moving toward fully automated; AI learning 'self' and self-awareness
该表态来自中国顶级AI实验室创始人,与西方主流对AGI时间线的谨慎判断形成鲜明对比,或带有竞争宣传成分,但也反映中国AI领域对超级智能路径的信心正在公开化,将加剧中美AI叙事的话语权竞争。
Holy moly: Zhipu AI founder (GLM-5.2) Tang Jie says we are on our clear way to AGI and "AI will begin to learn what the 'self' is and what self-awareness means" In a purported internal letter, he argues that: - autonomous agent systems are moving toward the fully automated
@Areskapitalon ↗
美股
2026-07-11
Salesforce旗下AI产品遭双重打击
据The Street报道,Salesforce旗下某AI产品接连遭受双重负面冲击
Salesforce; AI product; double blow
在AI代理商务竞争白热化背景下,Salesforce Agentforce面临的持续压力值得关注,可能影响市场对其AI战略执行力及企业软件护城河的信心评估。
Salesforce receives double blow over an AI product
@thestreet ↗
美股
2026-07-11
李维斯某时尚品类销量同比飙升70%
有173年历史的牛仔巨头李维斯报告旗下某一特定时尚品类销量同比激增70%
173-year-old denim giant (Levi Strauss); one fashion trend; +70% surge
173-year-old denim giant sees one fashion trend surge 70%
@thestreet ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
DHS证实休斯顿ICE误击致墨裔长期居民死亡
美国国土安全部证实,在休斯顿移民执法行动中被ICE人员击毙的洛伦佐·萨尔加多·阿劳霍(在美居住数十年的墨西哥裔男性)并非该行动的目标对象
DHS; Lorenzo Salgado Araujo; Mexican national; decades in US; not intended target; fatally shot by ICE officer; Houston
DHS官方认定死者并非目标对象,使这起事件从执法争议升级为误杀疑案,将进一步加剧国内对ICE行动准确性、问责机制及移民执法扩大化的政治争议。
The Department of Homeland Security says Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, a Mexican man who had been living in the U.S. for decades, was not the intended focus of an immigration enforcement operation when he was fatally shot by an ICE officer in Houston on Tuesday.
@newshour ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
联邦法官临时冻结教育部研究生贷款新限额
美国联邦法官临时阻止教育部执行涉及部分专业学位项目的新贷款限额政策,对当前及未来研究生群体产生重大影响
Federal judge; temporary block; DoE new loan limits; professional degree programs; graduate students
这是特朗普政府削减高等教育联邦贷款计划遭遇的最新司法阻力,将推迟政策对法学、医学等高成本专业学生的实际冲击,后续诉讼走向将决定数百万研究生的借贷上限。
More changes are underway for federal student loans, with major implications for current and future graduate students. A federal judge has temporarily blocked parts of the Department of Education's new loan limits, including restrictions affecting some professional degree
@newshour ↗
selected
2026-07-11
APR两年涨529%,K美妆超越英伟达英特尔
韩国美妆公司APR(278470.KS)过去两年股价累计上涨529%,大幅跑赢英伟达和英特尔;一季度净利润同比增长41%,K美妆ODM企业营业利润率达30%以上,出口规模逼近150亿美元门槛。
APR (278470.KS) +529% 2Y; 1Q net profit +41% YoY; ODM OPM 30%+; K-beauty exports ~$15B threshold
市场将K美妆重新定价为技术+品牌动能复合驱动的结构性成长赛道,而非单纯消费品;ODM企业凭借规模杠杆实现30%以上营业利润率,美欧基础护肤品类的渗透扩张支撑出口规模持续突破。Medicube等品牌在海外市场的强劲渗透印证了该赛道的全球化变现能力。
반도체 쏟아붓는 와중에 K뷰티가 또 터지네. 1Q 순익 41% 폭증에 하반기 대장주 예고라. 수출 150억 달러 시대 문턱인데, 미국·유럽 기초 카테고리 중심으로 구조적 성장 중. ODM 쪽 레버리지 제대로 먹는 기업들 영업이익률 30%대 찍는 거 보면 단순 소비재가 아니라 기술+브랜드 모멘텀 섞인
@wow_finwit ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
Benchmark合伙人:企业数据不应让渡给闭源AI供应商
Benchmark合伙人Peter Fenton公开表示,企业将数据与业务流程上下文让渡给闭源模型公司"毫无道理",真正价值在于工作流、专有数据和业务逻辑本身。
Benchmark; Peter Fenton; AI lock-in; proprietary data; closed model; 'seems incoherent'
Fenton的论断直接指向AI企业采购的核心矛盾——模型能力依赖与数据主权博弈。顶级VC公开背书开放/私有部署路线,将加速企业客户对闭源AI协议条款的重新审视。
The next AI lock-in fight is simple: don't give away the data and context that make your company valuable @benchmark's @peterfenton says ceding that context to a closed model company 'seems incoherent' and the real value is in workflows, proprietary data, how the business
@dee_bosa ↗
宏观
2026-07-11
报告指英国移动网络覆盖落后全部欧盟及G7国家
据报道,英国移动互联网覆盖率已劣于每一个欧盟成员国及G7国家,在主要发达经济体中垫底。
UK mobile internet coverage; worse than every EU & G7 country
脱欧后监管碎片化及基建投资不足被认为是英国数字基础设施落后的结构性原因,对英国科技与商业竞争力构成长期隐患,亦为政府提供了加大电信投资的政治压力。
JUST IN: UK reportedly now has worse mobile internet coverage than every EU & G7 country.
@polymarket ↗
AI / 科技
2026-07-11
欧盟拟强制Meta关闭无限滚动违规最高罚款120亿美元
欧盟以Instagram和Facebook的无限滚动与自动播放功能将用户推入"自动导航模式"为由,要求Meta关闭上述产品设计,违规最高罚款可达120亿美元。
EU; Meta $META; infinite scroll + autoplay ban; $12B max fine; 'autopilot mode' charge
此次监管矛头直指平台参与度设计机制本身而非内容,标志着欧盟数字监管从"管内容"升级到"管展示方式"的范式转变。若罚款落地将刷新平台产品设计监管记录,并对Meta在欧盟市场的核心广告变现逻辑构成根本挑战。
The EU wants Meta to switch off infinite scroll. The fine could hit $12B. Brussels isn't going after what's on Facebook. It's going after how the feed is built. The charge: autoplay and infinite scroll push users into "autopilot mode."
@thenextweb ↗
美股
2026-07-11
伯克希尔哈撒韦2026年迄今跑输标普500达12.4%
伯克希尔哈撒韦B类股($BRK.B)2026年迄今跑输标普500指数12.4%,为近年少见的大幅相对落后。
BRK.B underperforming S&P 500 by 12.4% YTD 2026; CNBC
伯克希尔持仓偏重传统行业,在AI和科技股主导的本轮行情中明显掉队;历史上伯克希尔常在牛市末段相对落后而在回调中跑赢,当前落后幅度或是价值股与成长股轮换趋势的镜像体现。
Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B is underperforming the S&P 500 by 12.4% so far in 2026 - CNBC
@stockmktnewz ↗
地缘
2026-07-11
莫迪三国行深化印太布局涵盖导弹铀矿关键矿产
印度总理莫迪完成三国外交访问,议题涵盖导弹合作、铀矿供应、关键矿产及体育外交,旨在系统深化印度的印太战略伙伴关系。
PM Modi; three-nation tour; missiles, uranium, critical minerals, sports diplomacy; Indo-Pacific partnerships
莫迪出访议程横跨国防、核能与资源三大战略维度,在美伊冲突导致能源供应链不确定性上升的背景下,印度寻求多元化关键资源来源和安全保障的战略意图更显迫切,此访标志着印度在大国博弈中主动构建的印太支点外交进一步落实。
From missiles and uranium to critical minerals and sports diplomacy, Prime Minister Narendra Modi used a three-nation tour to deepen India's Indo-Pacific partnerships.
@business ↗